Polymarket traders' strong consensus at 47.9% implied probability for Chicago's median home value falling in the 327-330k range on April 1 reflects Parcl Labs' latest daily sales price index readings—adjusted by multiplying price-per-square-foot by the city's 1,500 sq ft median home size—hovering stably near $328k amid low inventory and nascent spring demand. February 2026 Illinois Realtors data shows Chicago metro single-family median sales prices up 5.3% year-over-year to $395k, with inventory down 10.6% and closed sales off 8%, sustaining upward pressure despite affordability strains from lingering high rates. Easing mortgage rates below 6% signal modest buyer return, but tight supply limits downside risk; resolution hinges on Parcl's April 1 publication, with final weekend transactions as key swing factor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?
What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?
327 - 330k 48.3%
324 - 327k 22%
330 - 333k 15.8%
33.6万 - 33.9万美元 14.9%
$12,315 交易量
$12,315 交易量
Apr 1, 2026
<321k
7%
321 - 324k
12%
324 - 327k
22%
327 - 330k
48%
330 - 333k
14%
333 - 336k
1%
33.6万 - 33.9万美元
15%
>339k
1%
327 - 330k 48.3%
324 - 327k 22%
330 - 333k 15.8%
33.6万 - 33.9万美元 14.9%
$12,315 交易量
$12,315 交易量
Apr 1, 2026
<321k
$209 交易量
7%
321 - 324k
$2,674 交易量
12%
324 - 327k
$1,015 交易量
22%
327 - 330k
$6,833 交易量
48%
330 - 333k
$821 交易量
14%
333 - 336k
$196 交易量
1%
33.6万 - 33.9万美元
$210 交易量
15%
>339k
$357 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)Polymarket traders' strong consensus at 47.9% implied probability for Chicago's median home value falling in the 327-330k range on April 1 reflects Parcl Labs' latest daily sales price index readings—adjusted by multiplying price-per-square-foot by the city's 1,500 sq ft median home size—hovering stably near $328k amid low inventory and nascent spring demand. February 2026 Illinois Realtors data shows Chicago metro single-family median sales prices up 5.3% year-over-year to $395k, with inventory down 10.6% and closed sales off 8%, sustaining upward pressure despite affordability strains from lingering high rates. Easing mortgage rates below 6% signal modest buyer return, but tight supply limits downside risk; resolution hinges on Parcl's April 1 publication, with final weekend transactions as key swing factor.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)
市场开放时间： Feb 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
交易量
$12,315结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)Polymarket traders' strong consensus at 47.9% implied probability for Chicago's median home value falling in the 327-330k range on April 1 reflects Parcl Labs' latest daily sales price index readings—adjusted by multiplying price-per-square-foot by the city's 1,500 sq ft median home size—hovering stably near $328k amid low inventory and nascent spring demand. February 2026 Illinois Realtors data shows Chicago metro single-family median sales prices up 5.3% year-over-year to $395k, with inventory down 10.6% and closed sales off 8%, sustaining upward pressure despite affordability strains from lingering high rates. Easing mortgage rates below 6% signal modest buyer return, but tight supply limits downside risk; resolution hinges on Parcl's April 1 publication, with final weekend transactions as key swing factor.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)
交易量
$12,315结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders' strong consensus at 47.9% implied probability for Chicago's median home value falling in the 327-330k range on April 1 reflects Parcl Labs' latest daily sales price index readings—adjusted by multiplying price-per-square-foot by the city's 1,500 sq ft median home size—hovering stably near $328k amid low inventory and nascent spring demand. February 2026 Illinois Realtors data shows Chicago metro single-family median sales prices up 5.3% year-over-year to $395k, with inventory down 10.6% and closed sales off 8%, sustaining upward pressure despite affordability strains from lingering high rates. Easing mortgage rates below 6% signal modest buyer return, but tight supply limits downside risk; resolution hinges on Parcl's April 1 publication, with final weekend transactions as key swing factor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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