Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between the $1.165–1.175 million (51%) and $1.175–1.185 million (47.9%) bins for San Francisco metro median home value, reflecting uncertainty over Zillow's March 2026 ZHVI update from February's $1.116 million baseline amid surging sales momentum. February data showed single-family median sale prices jumping 16–22% year-over-year to $1.65–2.0 million in San Francisco proper, fueled by AI-driven tech demand, plummeting inventory (down 35% in some segments), and shortened days-on-market around 42, pressuring the smoothed ZHVI higher despite broader Bay Area softening. Key differentiators include March transaction strength versus potential listing uptick and stabilizing mortgage rates; resolution hinges on today's ZHVI release capturing these dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 1?
What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 1?
高于1,195,000 4.9%
1.125 - 1.135m 4.0%
1.155 - 1.165m 3.0%
1.145 - 1.155m 2.7%
$4,697 交易量
$4,697 交易量
2026-04-01
<1.125m
3%
1.125 - 1.135m
4%
1.135 - 1.145m
2%
1.145 - 1.155m
3%
1.155 - 1.165m
3%
1.165 - 1.175m
41%
1.175 - 1.185m
55%
1.185 - 1.195百万
48%
高于1,195,000
5%
高于1,195,000 4.9%
1.125 - 1.135m 4.0%
1.155 - 1.165m 3.0%
1.145 - 1.155m 2.7%
$4,697 交易量
$4,697 交易量
2026-04-01
<1.125m
$116 交易量
3%
1.125 - 1.135m
$863 交易量
4%
1.135 - 1.145m
$334 交易量
2%
1.145 - 1.155m
$636 交易量
3%
1.155 - 1.165m
$141 交易量
3%
1.165 - 1.175m
$837 交易量
41%
1.175 - 1.185m
$678 交易量
55%
1.185 - 1.195百万
$510 交易量
48%
高于1,195,000
$583 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/20)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between the $1.165–1.175 million (51%) and $1.175–1.185 million (47.9%) bins for San Francisco metro median home value, reflecting uncertainty over Zillow's March 2026 ZHVI update from February's $1.116 million baseline amid surging sales momentum. February data showed single-family median sale prices jumping 16–22% year-over-year to $1.65–2.0 million in San Francisco proper, fueled by AI-driven tech demand, plummeting inventory (down 35% in some segments), and shortened days-on-market around 42, pressuring the smoothed ZHVI higher despite broader Bay Area softening. Key differentiators include March transaction strength versus potential listing uptick and stabilizing mortgage rates; resolution hinges on today's ZHVI release capturing these dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/20)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/20)
市场开放时间： Feb 27, 2026, 5:08 PM ET
交易量
$4,697结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Feb 27, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/20)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between the $1.165–1.175 million (51%) and $1.175–1.185 million (47.9%) bins for San Francisco metro median home value, reflecting uncertainty over Zillow's March 2026 ZHVI update from February's $1.116 million baseline amid surging sales momentum. February data showed single-family median sale prices jumping 16–22% year-over-year to $1.65–2.0 million in San Francisco proper, fueled by AI-driven tech demand, plummeting inventory (down 35% in some segments), and shortened days-on-market around 42, pressuring the smoothed ZHVI higher despite broader Bay Area softening. Key differentiators include March transaction strength versus potential listing uptick and stabilizing mortgage rates; resolution hinges on today's ZHVI release capturing these dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/20)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/20)
交易量
$4,697结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Feb 27, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between the $1.165–1.175 million (51%) and $1.175–1.185 million (47.9%) bins for San Francisco metro median home value, reflecting uncertainty over Zillow's March 2026 ZHVI update from February's $1.116 million baseline amid surging sales momentum. February data showed single-family median sale prices jumping 16–22% year-over-year to $1.65–2.0 million in San Francisco proper, fueled by AI-driven tech demand, plummeting inventory (down 35% in some segments), and shortened days-on-market around 42, pressuring the smoothed ZHVI higher despite broader Bay Area softening. Key differentiators include March transaction strength versus potential listing uptick and stabilizing mortgage rates; resolution hinges on today's ZHVI release capturing these dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题