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4月1日,美国的房屋价值中位数是多少?

Market icon

4月1日,美国的房屋价值中位数是多少?

低于42万 25.8%

432.5 - 435千 25.7%

427.5 - 430千 12.0%

42.25万 - 42.5万美元 11%

Polymarket

$16,247 交易量

低于42万 25.8%

432.5 - 435千 25.7%

427.5 - 430千 12.0%

42.25万 - 42.5万美元 11%

Polymarket

$16,247 交易量

低于42万

$0 交易量

26%

42万 - 42.25万

$0 交易量

22%

42.25万 - 42.5万美元

$6,356 交易量

20%

42.5万 - 42.75万美元

$7,494 交易量

53%

427.5 - 430千

$0 交易量

13%

43万 - 43.25万

$0 交易量

3%

432.5 - 435千

$2,396 交易量

26%

>435,000

$0 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/17)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parcl Labs US median home value at 425-427.5k on April 1 with a leading 49.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of price stability amid softening growth momentum from recent data. Redfin's February median sales price stood at $429,189, up just 0.9% year-over-year, while NAR reported $398,000 for existing homes—up 0.3%—highlighting subdued appreciation as inventory rose to 3.8 months' supply, the highest in recent years, and mortgage rates lingered above 6.5%. February existing-home sales climbed 1.7% to a 4.09 million annualized pace, bolstering resilience, yet institutional investor net selling and rising listings cap upside, positioning <420k (26.1%) as a key risk ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parcl Labs US median home value at 425-427.5k on April 1 with a leading 49.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of price stability amid softening growth momentum from recent data. Redfin's February median sales price stood at $429,189, up just 0.9% year-over-year, while NAR reported $398,000 for existing homes—up 0.3%—highlighting subdued appreciation as inventory rose to 3.8 months' supply, the highest in recent years, and mortgage rates lingered above 6.5%. February existing-home sales climbed 1.7% to a 4.09 million annualized pace, bolstering resilience, yet institutional investor net selling and rising listings cap upside, positioning <420k (26.1%) as a key risk ahead of resolution.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/17)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parcl Labs US median home value at 425-427.5k on April 1 with a leading 49.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of price stability amid softening growth momentum from recent data. Redfin's February median sales price stood at $429,189, up just 0.9% year-over-year, while NAR reported $398,000 for existing homes—up 0.3%—highlighting subdued appreciation as inventory rose to 3.8 months' supply, the highest in recent years, and mortgage rates lingered above 6.5%. February existing-home sales climbed 1.7% to a 4.09 million annualized pace, bolstering resilience, yet institutional investor net selling and rising listings cap upside, positioning <420k (26.1%) as a key risk ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parcl Labs US median home value at 425-427.5k on April 1 with a leading 49.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of price stability amid softening growth momentum from recent data. Redfin's February median sales price stood at $429,189, up just 0.9% year-over-year, while NAR reported $398,000 for existing homes—up 0.3%—highlighting subdued appreciation as inventory rose to 3.8 months' supply, the highest in recent years, and mortgage rates lingered above 6.5%. February existing-home sales climbed 1.7% to a 4.09 million annualized pace, bolstering resilience, yet institutional investor net selling and rising listings cap upside, positioning <420k (26.1%) as a key risk ahead of resolution.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"4月1日,美国的房屋价值中位数是多少?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"42.5万 - 42.75万美元",概率为 54%,其次是"低于42万",概率为 26%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 54¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 54%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"4月1日,美国的房屋价值中位数是多少?"已产生 $16.2K 的总交易量(自Feb 28, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"4月1日,美国的房屋价值中位数是多少?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"4月1日,美国的房屋价值中位数是多少?"的当前领先者是"42.5万 - 42.75万美元",概率为 54%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 54%。紧随其后的结果是"低于42万",概率为 26%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"4月1日,美国的房屋价值中位数是多少?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。