Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parcl Labs US median home value at 425-427.5k on April 1 with a leading 49.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of price stability amid softening growth momentum from recent data. Redfin's February median sales price stood at $429,189, up just 0.9% year-over-year, while NAR reported $398,000 for existing homes—up 0.3%—highlighting subdued appreciation as inventory rose to 3.8 months' supply, the highest in recent years, and mortgage rates lingered above 6.5%. February existing-home sales climbed 1.7% to a 4.09 million annualized pace, bolstering resilience, yet institutional investor net selling and rising listings cap upside, positioning <420k (26.1%) as a key risk ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月1日,美国的房屋价值中位数是多少?
4月1日,美国的房屋价值中位数是多少?
低于42万 25.8%
432.5 - 435千 25.7%
427.5 - 430千 12.0%
42.25万 - 42.5万美元 11%
$16,247 交易量
$16,247 交易量
低于42万
26%
42万 - 42.25万
22%
42.25万 - 42.5万美元
20%
42.5万 - 42.75万美元
53%
427.5 - 430千
13%
43万 - 43.25万
3%
432.5 - 435千
26%
>435,000
3%
低于42万 25.8%
432.5 - 435千 25.7%
427.5 - 430千 12.0%
42.25万 - 42.5万美元 11%
$16,247 交易量
$16,247 交易量
低于42万
26%
42万 - 42.25万
22%
42.25万 - 42.5万美元
20%
42.5万 - 42.75万美元
53%
427.5 - 430千
13%
43万 - 43.25万
3%
432.5 - 435千
26%
>435,000
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/17)
市场开放时间: Feb 27, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/17)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parcl Labs US median home value at 425-427.5k on April 1 with a leading 49.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of price stability amid softening growth momentum from recent data. Redfin's February median sales price stood at $429,189, up just 0.9% year-over-year, while NAR reported $398,000 for existing homes—up 0.3%—highlighting subdued appreciation as inventory rose to 3.8 months' supply, the highest in recent years, and mortgage rates lingered above 6.5%. February existing-home sales climbed 1.7% to a 4.09 million annualized pace, bolstering resilience, yet institutional investor net selling and rising listings cap upside, positioning <420k (26.1%) as a key risk ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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