Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between the $415,000–$420,000 (31.9% implied probability) and $410,000–$415,000 (31.0%) bins for Austin metro median home value on April 1, per the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index, reflecting February's $412,000 median sales price amid persistent cooling. Elevated inventory—up nearly 5% year-over-year to over 6,000 homes—and average days on market hitting 91 have capped appreciation, down 3–6% annually across indices like Zillow's ZHVI at $424,642 through February. Stabilizing buyer interest, with 14% of March sales over list price (highest in 12 months), differentiates upside potential from stagnation, though low late-March transaction volume limits near-term swings ahead of imminent resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月1日,德克萨斯州奥斯汀市的房屋价值中位数是多少?
4月1日,德克萨斯州奥斯汀市的房屋价值中位数是多少?
41.5万 - 42万美元 32.4%
41万 - 41.5万 31.4%
42万 - 42.5万美元 10.8%
40.5万 - 41万美元 11%
低于40万美元
3%
40万 - 40.5万美元
4%
40.5万 - 41万美元
11%
41万 - 41.5万
31%
41.5万 - 42万美元
24%
42万 - 42.5万美元
11%
>425k
9%
41.5万 - 42万美元 32.4%
41万 - 41.5万 31.4%
42万 - 42.5万美元 10.8%
40.5万 - 41万美元 11%
低于40万美元
3%
40万 - 40.5万美元
4%
40.5万 - 41万美元
11%
41万 - 41.5万
31%
41.5万 - 42万美元
24%
42万 - 42.5万美元
11%
>425k
9%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)
市场开放时间: Feb 27, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between the $415,000–$420,000 (31.9% implied probability) and $410,000–$415,000 (31.0%) bins for Austin metro median home value on April 1, per the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index, reflecting February's $412,000 median sales price amid persistent cooling. Elevated inventory—up nearly 5% year-over-year to over 6,000 homes—and average days on market hitting 91 have capped appreciation, down 3–6% annually across indices like Zillow's ZHVI at $424,642 through February. Stabilizing buyer interest, with 14% of March sales over list price (highest in 12 months), differentiates upside potential from stagnation, though low late-March transaction volume limits near-term swings ahead of imminent resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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