Market icon
经济·从新建中隐藏·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?

Market icon
经济·从新建中隐藏·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?

575 - 580k 37.5%

580 - 585k 28.6%

590 - 595k 6.0%

585 - 590k 5.2%

Polymarket

$14,834 交易量

575 - 580k 37.5%

580 - 585k 28.6%

590 - 595k 6.0%

585 - 590k 5.2%

Polymarket

$14,834 交易量

<570k

$1,310 交易量

1%

570 - 575k

$968 交易量

2%

575 - 580k

$1,589 交易量

38%

580 - 585k

$1,582 交易量

29%

585 - 590k

$3,891 交易量

20%

590 - 595k

$2,320 交易量

7%

595 - 600k

$1,795 交易量

1%

>600k

$1,379 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices New York City’s Parcl Labs median home value trajectory at approximately $578,000 for April 1, with implied probabilities tightly split—575-580k at 37.5% narrowly leading 580-585k at 28.9%—reflecting a stable sales-based index amid low inventory and steady urban demand. February’s Zillow Home Value Index for NYC rose 0.3% month-over-month to $711,726, but Parcl’s all-property median remains lower due to its real-time sales trajectory methodology, showing minimal volatility since the prior month’s resolution near $585,000. Key swing factors include late-March transaction data and seasonal adjustments, with institutional investor net selling exerting mild downward pressure; resolution hinges on Parcl’s April 1 publication.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices New York City’s Parcl Labs median home value trajectory at approximately $578,000 for April 1, with implied probabilities tightly split—575-580k at 37.5% narrowly leading 580-585k at 28.9%—reflecting a stable sales-based index amid low inventory and steady urban demand. February’s Zillow Home Value Index for NYC rose 0.3% month-over-month to $711,726, but Parcl’s all-property median remains lower due to its real-time sales trajectory methodology, showing minimal volatility since the prior month’s resolution near $585,000. Key swing factors include late-March transaction data and seasonal adjustments, with institutional investor net selling exerting mild downward pressure; resolution hinges on Parcl’s April 1 publication.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices New York City’s Parcl Labs median home value trajectory at approximately $578,000 for April 1, with implied probabilities tightly split—575-580k at 37.5% narrowly leading 580-585k at 28.9%—reflecting a stable sales-based index amid low inventory and steady urban demand. February’s Zillow Home Value Index for NYC rose 0.3% month-over-month to $711,726, but Parcl’s all-property median remains lower due to its real-time sales trajectory methodology, showing minimal volatility since the prior month’s resolution near $585,000. Key swing factors include late-March transaction data and seasonal adjustments, with institutional investor net selling exerting mild downward pressure; resolution hinges on Parcl’s April 1 publication.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices New York City’s Parcl Labs median home value trajectory at approximately $578,000 for April 1, with implied probabilities tightly split—575-580k at 37.5% narrowly leading 580-585k at 28.9%—reflecting a stable sales-based index amid low inventory and steady urban demand. February’s Zillow Home Value Index for NYC rose 0.3% month-over-month to $711,726, but Parcl’s all-property median remains lower due to its real-time sales trajectory methodology, showing minimal volatility since the prior month’s resolution near $585,000. Key swing factors include late-March transaction data and seasonal adjustments, with institutional investor net selling exerting mild downward pressure; resolution hinges on Parcl’s April 1 publication.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"575 - 580k"，概率为 38%，其次是"580 - 585k"，概率为 29%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 38¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 38%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?"已产生 $14.8K 的总交易量（自Feb 27, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?"的当前领先者是"575 - 580k"，概率为 38%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 38%。紧随其后的结果是"580 - 585k"，概率为 29%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。