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经济·住房

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?

Market icon
经济·住房

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?

>1.22m 46%

<1.17m 45%

1.17 - 1.18m 45%

1.18 - 1.19m 45%

Polymarket
最新

>1.22m 46%

<1.17m 45%

1.17 - 1.18m 45%

1.18 - 1.19m 45%

Polymarket
最新

<1.17m

$0 交易量

45%

1.17 - 1.18m

$0 交易量

45%

1.18 - 1.19m

$0 交易量

45%

1.19 - 1.2m

$0 交易量

45%

1.2 - 1.21m

$0 交易量

45%

1.21 - 1.22m

$0 交易量

45%

>1.22m

$0 交易量

46%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)Polymarket traders express balanced uncertainty with 45.5% implied probabilities across all bins for Los Angeles metro median home value on April 30, reflecting a closely contested outlook centered around $1.17-1.22 million. February 2026 data from Zillow's Home Value Index and Redfin median sale prices showed year-over-year declines of 1-5% for the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim area, driven by modestly rising inventory (up slightly month-over-month) amid 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates suppressing demand. Persistent low supply and robust local employment provide counterbalance, creating equilibrium. Key differentiators: March housing data releases mid-April and potential Fed rate guidance, alongside spring buying momentum, could sway the trajectory amid stable national forecasts of 0.7% annual home value growth.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)Polymarket traders express balanced uncertainty with 45.5% implied probabilities across all bins for Los Angeles metro median home value on April 30, reflecting a closely contested outlook centered around $1.17-1.22 million. February 2026 data from Zillow's Home Value Index and Redfin median sale prices showed year-over-year declines of 1-5% for the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim area, driven by modestly rising inventory (up slightly month-over-month) amid 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates suppressing demand. Persistent low supply and robust local employment provide counterbalance, creating equilibrium. Key differentiators: March housing data releases mid-April and potential Fed rate guidance, alongside spring buying momentum, could sway the trajectory amid stable national forecasts of 0.7% annual home value growth.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为">1.22m"，概率为 46%，其次是"<1.17m"，概率为 45%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 46¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 46%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Mar 30, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?"的当前领先者是">1.22m"，概率为 46%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 46%。紧随其后的结果是"<1.17m"，概率为 45%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。