Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in DC metro median home values, with implied probabilities clustered around $549k–$567k as the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) lingers near $570k following February 2026's flat reading of approximately $567k–$572k. Surging inventory—up 18% year-over-year—has intensified downward pressure amid softening sales volumes down 10%, yet spring contract activity rose 8.6% and easing 30-year mortgage rates near 6.3% signal potential demand rebound. Leading >$567k at 22.5% edges <549k at 20%, hinging on whether seasonal buyer momentum offsets supply glut before April 30 resolution; key swing factors include March pending sales and early April listings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on April 30?
What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on April 30?
>567k 26%
549 - 552k 20%
<549k 19%
552 - 555k 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-30
<549k
20%
549 - 552k
20%
552 - 555k
19%
555 - 558k
14%
558 - 561k
8%
561 - 564k
6%
564 - 567k
6%
>567k
26%
>567k 26%
549 - 552k 20%
<549k 19%
552 - 555k 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-30
<549k
$431 交易量
20%
549 - 552k
$0 交易量
20%
552 - 555k
$0 交易量
19%
555 - 558k
$0 交易量
14%
558 - 561k
$0 交易量
8%
561 - 564k
$0 交易量
6%
564 - 567k
$0 交易量
6%
>567k
$138 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/29)Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in DC metro median home values, with implied probabilities clustered around $549k–$567k as the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) lingers near $570k following February 2026's flat reading of approximately $567k–$572k. Surging inventory—up 18% year-over-year—has intensified downward pressure amid softening sales volumes down 10%, yet spring contract activity rose 8.6% and easing 30-year mortgage rates near 6.3% signal potential demand rebound. Leading >$567k at 22.5% edges <549k at 20%, hinging on whether seasonal buyer momentum offsets supply glut before April 30 resolution; key swing factors include March pending sales and early April listings.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/29)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/29)
市场开放时间： Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
交易量
$569结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/29)Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in DC metro median home values, with implied probabilities clustered around $549k–$567k as the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) lingers near $570k following February 2026's flat reading of approximately $567k–$572k. Surging inventory—up 18% year-over-year—has intensified downward pressure amid softening sales volumes down 10%, yet spring contract activity rose 8.6% and easing 30-year mortgage rates near 6.3% signal potential demand rebound. Leading >$567k at 22.5% edges <549k at 20%, hinging on whether seasonal buyer momentum offsets supply glut before April 30 resolution; key swing factors include March pending sales and early April listings.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/29)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/29)
交易量
$569结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in DC metro median home values, with implied probabilities clustered around $549k–$567k as the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) lingers near $570k following February 2026's flat reading of approximately $567k–$572k. Surging inventory—up 18% year-over-year—has intensified downward pressure amid softening sales volumes down 10%, yet spring contract activity rose 8.6% and easing 30-year mortgage rates near 6.3% signal potential demand rebound. Leading >$567k at 22.5% edges <549k at 20%, hinging on whether seasonal buyer momentum offsets supply glut before April 30 resolution; key swing factors include March pending sales and early April listings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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