Bank of Japan policymakers maintained the short-term policy rate at 0.75% following the April 27-28 Monetary Policy Meeting, cementing trader consensus at 100% for no change amid escalating Middle East tensions clouding the economic outlook. Recent hotter-than-expected core inflation and a tightening labor market had built pre-meeting hike speculation, but Governor Kazuo Ueda's cautious remarks emphasized vigilance on global risks, shifting market-implied odds decisively toward hold. A split 6-3 board vote—with three dissenters favoring an increase—highlights internal hawkishness, elevating June rate hike probabilities while affirming current positioning. Only an unprecedented reversal in official confirmation could challenge this outcome, with Ueda's post-meeting press conference key for forward guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于未变 100.0%
下调利率 <1%
上调25个基点 <1%
加息50个基点以上 <1%
$1,418,416 交易量
$1,418,416 交易量
2026-04-28
下调利率
否
未变
是
上调25个基点
否
加息50个基点以上
否
未变 100.0%
下调利率 <1%
上调25个基点 <1%
加息50个基点以上 <1%
$1,418,416 交易量
$1,418,416 交易量
2026-04-28
下调利率
$289,038 交易量
否
未变
$385,092 交易量
是
上调25个基点
$259,261 交易量
否
加息50个基点以上
$485,025 交易量
否
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Bank of Japan policymakers maintained the short-term policy rate at 0.75% following the April 27-28 Monetary Policy Meeting, cementing trader consensus at 100% for no change amid escalating Middle East tensions clouding the economic outlook. Recent hotter-than-expected core inflation and a tightening labor market had built pre-meeting hike speculation, but Governor Kazuo Ueda's cautious remarks emphasized vigilance on global risks, shifting market-implied odds decisively toward hold. A split 6-3 board vote—with three dissenters favoring an increase—highlights internal hawkishness, elevating June rate hike probabilities while affirming current positioning. Only an unprecedented reversal in official confirmation could challenge this outcome, with Ueda's post-meeting press conference key for forward guidance.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Jan 23, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
交易量
$1,418,416结束日期
2026-04-28市场开放时间
Jan 23, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Bank of Japan policymakers maintained the short-term policy rate at 0.75% following the April 27-28 Monetary Policy Meeting, cementing trader consensus at 100% for no change amid escalating Middle East tensions clouding the economic outlook. Recent hotter-than-expected core inflation and a tightening labor market had built pre-meeting hike speculation, but Governor Kazuo Ueda's cautious remarks emphasized vigilance on global risks, shifting market-implied odds decisively toward hold. A split 6-3 board vote—with three dissenters favoring an increase—highlights internal hawkishness, elevating June rate hike probabilities while affirming current positioning. Only an unprecedented reversal in official confirmation could challenge this outcome, with Ueda's post-meeting press conference key for forward guidance.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$1,418,416结束日期
2026-04-28市场开放时间
Jan 23, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Bank of Japan policymakers maintained the short-term policy rate at 0.75% following the April 27-28 Monetary Policy Meeting, cementing trader consensus at 100% for no change amid escalating Middle East tensions clouding the economic outlook. Recent hotter-than-expected core inflation and a tightening labor market had built pre-meeting hike speculation, but Governor Kazuo Ueda's cautious remarks emphasized vigilance on global risks, shifting market-implied odds decisively toward hold. A split 6-3 board vote—with three dissenters favoring an increase—highlights internal hawkishness, elevating June rate hike probabilities while affirming current positioning. Only an unprecedented reversal in official confirmation could challenge this outcome, with Ueda's post-meeting press conference key for forward guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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