Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Chicago's median home value near $340,000 by April 30, with 49.5% implied probabilities deadlocked across 336k-348k bins amid low single-family inventory down 20.5% year-over-year in February and steady buyer demand pushing median sales prices to $350,000, up 9.6% annually. Recent Illinois Realtors data highlights an 8.4% projected price rise through May, fueled by spring seasonal momentum, yet offset by national Zillow forecasts of just 0.7% annual home value growth and persistent affordability strains from stable mortgage rates. Key swing factors include March Zillow Home Value Index release and new listings trends, which could tip resolution toward higher or lower bins in this closely contested market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于336 - 338k 48%
<336k 45%
338 - 340k 45%
340 - 342k 45%
<336k
45%
336 - 338k
48%
338 - 340k
45%
340 - 342k
45%
342 - 344k
45%
344 - 346k
45%
346 - 348k
45%
>348k
45%
336 - 338k 48%
<336k 45%
338 - 340k 45%
340 - 342k 45%
<336k
45%
336 - 338k
48%
338 - 340k
45%
340 - 342k
45%
342 - 344k
45%
344 - 346k
45%
346 - 348k
45%
>348k
45%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
市场开放时间: Mar 30, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Chicago's median home value near $340,000 by April 30, with 49.5% implied probabilities deadlocked across 336k-348k bins amid low single-family inventory down 20.5% year-over-year in February and steady buyer demand pushing median sales prices to $350,000, up 9.6% annually. Recent Illinois Realtors data highlights an 8.4% projected price rise through May, fueled by spring seasonal momentum, yet offset by national Zillow forecasts of just 0.7% annual home value growth and persistent affordability strains from stable mortgage rates. Key swing factors include March Zillow Home Value Index release and new listings trends, which could tip resolution toward higher or lower bins in this closely contested market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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