Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a closely contested outlook for the Parcl Labs U.S. median home value on April 30, with <429k leading at 29.5% implied probability amid rising active inventory—up 7-8% year-over-year per Redfin and Realtor.com data through late March—and February's subdued median sale price of $429,156, up just 0.9% annually. Persistent 30-year fixed mortgage rates near 6.5% curb demand momentum, offsetting modest sales upticks like NAR's 1.7% February increase to 4.09 million SAAR, fostering caution on appreciation. Differentiating factors include March inventory trends and the mid-April NAR existing-home sales release, which could tip pricing toward softening if supply accelerates further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?
What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?
433 - 435k 23%
<429k 18%
429 - 431k 18%
431 - 433k 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-30
<429k
18%
429 - 431k
18%
431 - 433k
16%
433 - 435k
23%
435 - 437k
8%
437 - 439k
6%
439 - 441k
6%
>441k
6%
433 - 435k 23%
<429k 18%
429 - 431k 18%
431 - 433k 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-30
<429k
$729 交易量
18%
429 - 431k
$0 交易量
18%
431 - 433k
$36 交易量
16%
433 - 435k
$106 交易量
23%
435 - 437k
$0 交易量
8%
437 - 439k
$0 交易量
6%
439 - 441k
$0 交易量
6%
>441k
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a closely contested outlook for the Parcl Labs U.S. median home value on April 30, with <429k leading at 29.5% implied probability amid rising active inventory—up 7-8% year-over-year per Redfin and Realtor.com data through late March—and February's subdued median sale price of $429,156, up just 0.9% annually. Persistent 30-year fixed mortgage rates near 6.5% curb demand momentum, offsetting modest sales upticks like NAR's 1.7% February increase to 4.09 million SAAR, fostering caution on appreciation. Differentiating factors include March inventory trends and the mid-April NAR existing-home sales release, which could tip pricing toward softening if supply accelerates further.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
市场开放时间： Mar 30, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
交易量
$532结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a closely contested outlook for the Parcl Labs U.S. median home value on April 30, with <429k leading at 29.5% implied probability amid rising active inventory—up 7-8% year-over-year per Redfin and Realtor.com data through late March—and February's subdued median sale price of $429,156, up just 0.9% annually. Persistent 30-year fixed mortgage rates near 6.5% curb demand momentum, offsetting modest sales upticks like NAR's 1.7% February increase to 4.09 million SAAR, fostering caution on appreciation. Differentiating factors include March inventory trends and the mid-April NAR existing-home sales release, which could tip pricing toward softening if supply accelerates further.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
交易量
$532结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a closely contested outlook for the Parcl Labs U.S. median home value on April 30, with <429k leading at 29.5% implied probability amid rising active inventory—up 7-8% year-over-year per Redfin and Realtor.com data through late March—and February's subdued median sale price of $429,156, up just 0.9% annually. Persistent 30-year fixed mortgage rates near 6.5% curb demand momentum, offsetting modest sales upticks like NAR's 1.7% February increase to 4.09 million SAAR, fostering caution on appreciation. Differentiating factors include March inventory trends and the mid-April NAR existing-home sales release, which could tip pricing toward softening if supply accelerates further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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