Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward under 3 million TSA-screened passengers on April 3 (57% implied probability), with 3.0M-3.2M close behind at 41%, reflecting recent daily volumes consistently below 3M despite record spring break demand. March 29 logged 2.76 million, following a March 22 peak of 2.87 million, as DHS shutdown chaos—high callout rates up to 50%, officer quits, and multi-hour lines—has curbed momentum even amid airline forecasts of 2.8 million daily averages through April. Good Friday positioning ahead of Easter Sunday (April 5) signals potential uptick from holiday travel, but staffing strains and weekday patterns keep traders skeptical of breaching 3M, with resolution hinging on official TSA data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Number of TSA Passengers April 3?
Number of TSA Passengers April 3?
<3.0M 77%
3.0M-3.2M 41%
3.2M-3.4M <1%
3.6M-3.8M <1%
最新
最新
2026-04-03
<3.0M
77%
3.0M-3.2M
41%
3.2M-3.4M
1%
3.4M-3.6M
<1%
3.6M-3.8M
1%
>3.8M
<1%
<3.0M 77%
3.0M-3.2M 41%
3.2M-3.4M <1%
3.6M-3.8M <1%
最新
最新
2026-04-03
<3.0M
$67 交易量
77%
3.0M-3.2M
$10 交易量
41%
3.2M-3.4M
$408 交易量
1%
3.4M-3.6M
$328 交易量
<1%
3.6M-3.8M
$343 交易量
1%
>3.8M
$551 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward under 3 million TSA-screened passengers on April 3 (57% implied probability), with 3.0M-3.2M close behind at 41%, reflecting recent daily volumes consistently below 3M despite record spring break demand. March 29 logged 2.76 million, following a March 22 peak of 2.87 million, as DHS shutdown chaos—high callout rates up to 50%, officer quits, and multi-hour lines—has curbed momentum even amid airline forecasts of 2.8 million daily averages through April. Good Friday positioning ahead of Easter Sunday (April 5) signals potential uptick from holiday travel, but staffing strains and weekday patterns keep traders skeptical of breaching 3M, with resolution hinging on official TSA data.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
市场开放时间： Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
交易量
$1,707结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ETThis market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward under 3 million TSA-screened passengers on April 3 (57% implied probability), with 3.0M-3.2M close behind at 41%, reflecting recent daily volumes consistently below 3M despite record spring break demand. March 29 logged 2.76 million, following a March 22 peak of 2.87 million, as DHS shutdown chaos—high callout rates up to 50%, officer quits, and multi-hour lines—has curbed momentum even amid airline forecasts of 2.8 million daily averages through April. Good Friday positioning ahead of Easter Sunday (April 5) signals potential uptick from holiday travel, but staffing strains and weekday patterns keep traders skeptical of breaching 3M, with resolution hinging on official TSA data.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
交易量
$1,707结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward under 3 million TSA-screened passengers on April 3 (57% implied probability), with 3.0M-3.2M close behind at 41%, reflecting recent daily volumes consistently below 3M despite record spring break demand. March 29 logged 2.76 million, following a March 22 peak of 2.87 million, as DHS shutdown chaos—high callout rates up to 50%, officer quits, and multi-hour lines—has curbed momentum even amid airline forecasts of 2.8 million daily averages through April. Good Friday positioning ahead of Easter Sunday (April 5) signals potential uptick from holiday travel, but staffing strains and weekday patterns keep traders skeptical of breaching 3M, with resolution hinging on official TSA data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题