US headline CPI inflation accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year in March 2026—the highest since May 2024—while the Federal Reserve's preferred PCE gauge hit 3.5%, up sharply from February's 2.8%, reflecting sticky core services pressures and early tariff effects. Core PCE rose to 3.2%, exceeding March FOMC median projections of 2.7% for full-year 2026, prompting traders to price in upside risks for peak inflation amid resilient labor markets. April CPI data, due May 12, looms as the next catalyst, with June 16-17 FOMC meeting to reassess policy path; 10-year Treasury yields have climbed above 4.5% on reflation fears, underscoring market-implied odds of sustained higher-for-longer rates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$826,495 交易量
2026-12-31
高于3.5%
99%
高于4%
77%
高于5%
30%
高于6%
15%
高于8%
7%
超过10%
5%
$826,495 交易量
高于3.5%
$156,007 交易量
99%
高于4%
$189,618 交易量
77%
高于5%
$95,975 交易量
30%
高于6%
$33,546 交易量
15%
高于8%
$35,779 交易量
7%
超过10%
$35,526 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.US headline CPI inflation accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year in March 2026—the highest since May 2024—while the Federal Reserve's preferred PCE gauge hit 3.5%, up sharply from February's 2.8%, reflecting sticky core services pressures and early tariff effects. Core PCE rose to 3.2%, exceeding March FOMC median projections of 2.7% for full-year 2026, prompting traders to price in upside risks for peak inflation amid resilient labor markets. April CPI data, due May 12, looms as the next catalyst, with June 16-17 FOMC meeting to reassess policy path; 10-year Treasury yields have climbed above 4.5% on reflation fears, underscoring market-implied odds of sustained higher-for-longer rates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Mar 20, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
交易量
$826,495结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.US headline CPI inflation accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year in March 2026—the highest since May 2024—while the Federal Reserve's preferred PCE gauge hit 3.5%, up sharply from February's 2.8%, reflecting sticky core services pressures and early tariff effects. Core PCE rose to 3.2%, exceeding March FOMC median projections of 2.7% for full-year 2026, prompting traders to price in upside risks for peak inflation amid resilient labor markets. April CPI data, due May 12, looms as the next catalyst, with June 16-17 FOMC meeting to reassess policy path; 10-year Treasury yields have climbed above 4.5% on reflation fears, underscoring market-implied odds of sustained higher-for-longer rates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$826,495结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US headline CPI inflation accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year in March 2026—the highest since May 2024—while the Federal Reserve's preferred PCE gauge hit 3.5%, up sharply from February's 2.8%, reflecting sticky core services pressures and early tariff effects. Core PCE rose to 3.2%, exceeding March FOMC median projections of 2.7% for full-year 2026, prompting traders to price in upside risks for peak inflation amid resilient labor markets. April CPI data, due May 12, looms as the next catalyst, with June 16-17 FOMC meeting to reassess policy path; 10-year Treasury yields have climbed above 4.5% on reflation fears, underscoring market-implied odds of sustained higher-for-longer rates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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