Recent Tokyo and national core CPI readings have held near 1.8% year-over-year through August 2026, remaining below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target amid fuel subsidies and base effects, yet producer prices climbed 7.6% and import costs rose sharply due to yen weakness. Trader sentiment remains closely split, with the ≤1.9% outcome at 51.2% implied probability versus 43.5% for 2.0-2.4%, as markets weigh whether Middle East-related energy pressures, AI-driven semiconductor demand, and sustained wage growth will lift the calendar-year average above 2% in the second half. The BOJ’s September policy meeting and upcoming nationwide August CPI release represent near-term catalysts that could shift the balance between these leading bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于≤1.9% 51.2%
2.0-2.4% 44%
2.5-2.9% 3.1%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,694 交易量
$40,694 交易量
2027-01-22
≤1.9%
51%
2.0-2.4%
44%
2.5-2.9%
3%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1.9% 51.2%
2.0-2.4% 44%
2.5-2.9% 3.1%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,694 交易量
$40,694 交易量
2027-01-22
≤1.9%
$19,302 交易量
51%
2.0-2.4%
$11,379 交易量
44%
2.5-2.9%
$5,548 交易量
3%
3.0-3.4%
$1,661 交易量
1%
3.5-3.9%
$1,253 交易量
<1%
4.0%+
$1,551 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent Tokyo and national core CPI readings have held near 1.8% year-over-year through August 2026, remaining below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target amid fuel subsidies and base effects, yet producer prices climbed 7.6% and import costs rose sharply due to yen weakness. Trader sentiment remains closely split, with the ≤1.9% outcome at 51.2% implied probability versus 43.5% for 2.0-2.4%, as markets weigh whether Middle East-related energy pressures, AI-driven semiconductor demand, and sustained wage growth will lift the calendar-year average above 2% in the second half. The BOJ’s September policy meeting and upcoming nationwide August CPI release represent near-term catalysts that could shift the balance between these leading bins.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
市场开放时间： Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
交易量
$40,694结束日期
2027-01-22市场开放时间
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent Tokyo and national core CPI readings have held near 1.8% year-over-year through August 2026, remaining below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target amid fuel subsidies and base effects, yet producer prices climbed 7.6% and import costs rose sharply due to yen weakness. Trader sentiment remains closely split, with the ≤1.9% outcome at 51.2% implied probability versus 43.5% for 2.0-2.4%, as markets weigh whether Middle East-related energy pressures, AI-driven semiconductor demand, and sustained wage growth will lift the calendar-year average above 2% in the second half. The BOJ’s September policy meeting and upcoming nationwide August CPI release represent near-term catalysts that could shift the balance between these leading bins.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
交易量
$40,694结束日期
2027-01-22市场开放时间
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETRecent Tokyo and national core CPI readings have held near 1.8% year-over-year through August 2026, remaining below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target amid fuel subsidies and base effects, yet producer prices climbed 7.6% and import costs rose sharply due to yen weakness. Trader sentiment remains closely split, with the ≤1.9% outcome at 51.2% implied probability versus 43.5% for 2.0-2.4%, as markets weigh whether Middle East-related energy pressures, AI-driven semiconductor demand, and sustained wage growth will lift the calendar-year average above 2% in the second half. The BOJ’s September policy meeting and upcoming nationwide August CPI release represent near-term catalysts that could shift the balance between these leading bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题