Recent moderation in Mexico’s headline inflation—to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026, the lowest since mid-2020—has tightened the contest between the 3.50–3.99% and 4.00–4.49% annual outcomes for the full year. Cooling non-core prices, particularly food and energy, have driven the decline, while core inflation remains near 3.95% amid persistent services pressures. Banco de México’s decision to hold the policy rate at 6.50% reflects upside risks from trade policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and potential peso weakness, tempering expectations for further rapid disinflation. August data due September 9 and private-sector forecasts clustering near 4.0% for year-end keep the two leading bins closely matched, with traders weighing whether the recent downtrend will extend or reverse in the final months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于3.50%到3.99% 31.6%
4.00%至4.49% 25%
3.00%到3.49% 20.2%
4.50%到4.99% 8%
$66,117 交易量
$66,117 交易量
2027-01-07
低于2.50%
7%
2.50%至2.99%
7%
3.00%到3.49%
20%
3.50%到3.99%
32%
4.00%至4.49%
25%
4.50%到4.99%
8%
5.00%到5.49%
5%
5.50%及以上
2%
3.50%到3.99% 31.6%
4.00%至4.49% 25%
3.00%到3.49% 20.2%
4.50%到4.99% 8%
$66,117 交易量
$66,117 交易量
2027-01-07
低于2.50%
$1,113 交易量
7%
2.50%至2.99%
$4,895 交易量
7%
3.00%到3.49%
$29,055 交易量
20%
3.50%到3.99%
$4,203 交易量
32%
4.00%至4.49%
$13,149 交易量
25%
4.50%到4.99%
$4,932 交易量
8%
5.00%到5.49%
$2,454 交易量
5%
5.50%及以上
$6,318 交易量
2%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent moderation in Mexico’s headline inflation—to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026, the lowest since mid-2020—has tightened the contest between the 3.50–3.99% and 4.00–4.49% annual outcomes for the full year. Cooling non-core prices, particularly food and energy, have driven the decline, while core inflation remains near 3.95% amid persistent services pressures. Banco de México’s decision to hold the policy rate at 6.50% reflects upside risks from trade policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and potential peso weakness, tempering expectations for further rapid disinflation. August data due September 9 and private-sector forecasts clustering near 4.0% for year-end keep the two leading bins closely matched, with traders weighing whether the recent downtrend will extend or reverse in the final months.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
市场开放时间： Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
交易量
$66,117结束日期
2027-01-08市场开放时间
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETThis is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent moderation in Mexico’s headline inflation—to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026, the lowest since mid-2020—has tightened the contest between the 3.50–3.99% and 4.00–4.49% annual outcomes for the full year. Cooling non-core prices, particularly food and energy, have driven the decline, while core inflation remains near 3.95% amid persistent services pressures. Banco de México’s decision to hold the policy rate at 6.50% reflects upside risks from trade policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and potential peso weakness, tempering expectations for further rapid disinflation. August data due September 9 and private-sector forecasts clustering near 4.0% for year-end keep the two leading bins closely matched, with traders weighing whether the recent downtrend will extend or reverse in the final months.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
交易量
$66,117结束日期
2027-01-08市场开放时间
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETRecent moderation in Mexico’s headline inflation—to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026, the lowest since mid-2020—has tightened the contest between the 3.50–3.99% and 4.00–4.49% annual outcomes for the full year. Cooling non-core prices, particularly food and energy, have driven the decline, while core inflation remains near 3.95% amid persistent services pressures. Banco de México’s decision to hold the policy rate at 6.50% reflects upside risks from trade policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and potential peso weakness, tempering expectations for further rapid disinflation. August data due September 9 and private-sector forecasts clustering near 4.0% for year-end keep the two leading bins closely matched, with traders weighing whether the recent downtrend will extend or reverse in the final months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题