Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability for March 2026 headline CPI month-over-month (MoM) at ≥0.8%, driven primarily by a sharp oil price spike to over $110 per barrel for Brent crude in late March, triggered by escalating Middle East tensions including conflict with Iran. This energy shock, absent from February's tame 0.3% MoM print, is expected to surge gasoline and related costs captured in March data, amplified by February's hot 0.7% Producer Price Index (PPI) rise and FOMC's upward revision of 2026 PCE inflation forecasts to 2.7%. Consumer inflation expectations jumped to 3.8%, reinforcing positioning. Challenges could arise from rapid oil price retracement, muted passthrough to pump prices, or BLS seasonal adjustments softening the headline, ahead of the April 10 release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于≥0.8% 91%
0.7% 8%
≤0.3% <1%
0.6% <1%
$517,985 交易量
$517,985 交易量
2026-04-10
≤0.3%
1%
0.4%
<1%
0.5%
<1%
0.6%
1%
0.7%
8%
≥0.8%
91%
≥0.8% 91%
0.7% 8%
≤0.3% <1%
0.6% <1%
$517,985 交易量
$517,985 交易量
2026-04-10
≤0.3%
$199,891 交易量
1%
0.4%
$86,541 交易量
<1%
0.5%
$63,667 交易量
<1%
0.6%
$46,758 交易量
1%
0.7%
$40,839 交易量
8%
≥0.8%
$80,289 交易量
91%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability for March 2026 headline CPI month-over-month (MoM) at ≥0.8%, driven primarily by a sharp oil price spike to over $110 per barrel for Brent crude in late March, triggered by escalating Middle East tensions including conflict with Iran. This energy shock, absent from February's tame 0.3% MoM print, is expected to surge gasoline and related costs captured in March data, amplified by February's hot 0.7% Producer Price Index (PPI) rise and FOMC's upward revision of 2026 PCE inflation forecasts to 2.7%. Consumer inflation expectations jumped to 3.8%, reinforcing positioning. Challenges could arise from rapid oil price retracement, muted passthrough to pump prices, or BLS seasonal adjustments softening the headline, ahead of the April 10 release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ET
交易量
$517,985结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability for March 2026 headline CPI month-over-month (MoM) at ≥0.8%, driven primarily by a sharp oil price spike to over $110 per barrel for Brent crude in late March, triggered by escalating Middle East tensions including conflict with Iran. This energy shock, absent from February's tame 0.3% MoM print, is expected to surge gasoline and related costs captured in March data, amplified by February's hot 0.7% Producer Price Index (PPI) rise and FOMC's upward revision of 2026 PCE inflation forecasts to 2.7%. Consumer inflation expectations jumped to 3.8%, reinforcing positioning. Challenges could arise from rapid oil price retracement, muted passthrough to pump prices, or BLS seasonal adjustments softening the headline, ahead of the April 10 release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$517,985结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability for March 2026 headline CPI month-over-month (MoM) at ≥0.8%, driven primarily by a sharp oil price spike to over $110 per barrel for Brent crude in late March, triggered by escalating Middle East tensions including conflict with Iran. This energy shock, absent from February's tame 0.3% MoM print, is expected to surge gasoline and related costs captured in March data, amplified by February's hot 0.7% Producer Price Index (PPI) rise and FOMC's upward revision of 2026 PCE inflation forecasts to 2.7%. Consumer inflation expectations jumped to 3.8%, reinforcing positioning. Challenges could arise from rapid oil price retracement, muted passthrough to pump prices, or BLS seasonal adjustments softening the headline, ahead of the April 10 release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题