Recent Cleveland Fed nowcasts peg May 2026 headline CPI at a 0.46% month-over-month gain, aligning with the market’s 51% implied probability for a 0.5% print and supporting the 20.6% odds on 0.4%. April’s 0.6% monthly rise—pushing the year-over-year rate to 3.8%, the highest since May 2023—stemmed largely from an energy surge tied to the Iran-related oil shock, with gasoline up sharply. Traders are pricing in a modest moderation as some of those energy effects ease while core components remain anchored near recent levels. The June 10 release will resolve the contract, and any deviation from the nowcast trajectory could quickly shift positioning around the 0.4–0.6% band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0.5% 51%
0.4% 21.0%
0.6% 14%
0.3% 3.5%
$50,573 交易量
$50,573 交易量
2026-06-10
≤0.1%
1%
0.2%
1%
0.3%
4%
0.4%
21%
0.5%
51%
0.6%
14%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
2%
≥0.9%
1%
0.5% 51%
0.4% 21.0%
0.6% 14%
0.3% 3.5%
$50,573 交易量
$50,573 交易量
2026-06-10
≤0.1%
$1,497 交易量
1%
0.2%
$2,394 交易量
1%
0.3%
$3,554 交易量
4%
0.4%
$5,186 交易量
21%
0.5%
$9,800 交易量
51%
0.6%
$14,064 交易量
14%
0.7%
$7,818 交易量
2%
0.8%
$3,189 交易量
2%
≥0.9%
$3,070 交易量
1%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent Cleveland Fed nowcasts peg May 2026 headline CPI at a 0.46% month-over-month gain, aligning with the market’s 51% implied probability for a 0.5% print and supporting the 20.6% odds on 0.4%. April’s 0.6% monthly rise—pushing the year-over-year rate to 3.8%, the highest since May 2023—stemmed largely from an energy surge tied to the Iran-related oil shock, with gasoline up sharply. Traders are pricing in a modest moderation as some of those energy effects ease while core components remain anchored near recent levels. The June 10 release will resolve the contract, and any deviation from the nowcast trajectory could quickly shift positioning around the 0.4–0.6% band.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
交易量
$50,573结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent Cleveland Fed nowcasts peg May 2026 headline CPI at a 0.46% month-over-month gain, aligning with the market’s 51% implied probability for a 0.5% print and supporting the 20.6% odds on 0.4%. April’s 0.6% monthly rise—pushing the year-over-year rate to 3.8%, the highest since May 2023—stemmed largely from an energy surge tied to the Iran-related oil shock, with gasoline up sharply. Traders are pricing in a modest moderation as some of those energy effects ease while core components remain anchored near recent levels. The June 10 release will resolve the contract, and any deviation from the nowcast trajectory could quickly shift positioning around the 0.4–0.6% band.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$50,573结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Cleveland Fed nowcasts peg May 2026 headline CPI at a 0.46% month-over-month gain, aligning with the market’s 51% implied probability for a 0.5% print and supporting the 20.6% odds on 0.4%. April’s 0.6% monthly rise—pushing the year-over-year rate to 3.8%, the highest since May 2023—stemmed largely from an energy surge tied to the Iran-related oil shock, with gasoline up sharply. Traders are pricing in a modest moderation as some of those energy effects ease while core components remain anchored near recent levels. The June 10 release will resolve the contract, and any deviation from the nowcast trajectory could quickly shift positioning around the 0.4–0.6% band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题