Recent April CPI data showed a 0.6% month-over-month increase, aligning with forecasts but pushing the year-over-year rate to 3.8% amid elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions and shelter costs. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May CPI month-over-month at 0.46%, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on a 0.5% print as the base case amid moderating but still firm price pressures. Core measures have reaccelerated modestly, reflecting tariff pass-through and goods inflation, while consumer expectations have ticked higher. With the May release due June 10, traders are pricing in limited downside surprises given the recent trajectory of labor market data and monetary policy signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0.5% 51%
0.4% 20.6%
0.6% 14%
0.3% 3.6%
$50,573 交易量
$50,573 交易量
≤0.1%
1%
0.2%
1%
0.3%
4%
0.4%
21%
0.5%
51%
0.6%
14%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
3%
≥0.9%
1%
0.5% 51%
0.4% 20.6%
0.6% 14%
0.3% 3.6%
$50,573 交易量
$50,573 交易量
≤0.1%
1%
0.2%
1%
0.3%
4%
0.4%
21%
0.5%
51%
0.6%
14%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
3%
≥0.9%
1%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data showed a 0.6% month-over-month increase, aligning with forecasts but pushing the year-over-year rate to 3.8% amid elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions and shelter costs. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May CPI month-over-month at 0.46%, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on a 0.5% print as the base case amid moderating but still firm price pressures. Core measures have reaccelerated modestly, reflecting tariff pass-through and goods inflation, while consumer expectations have ticked higher. With the May release due June 10, traders are pricing in limited downside surprises given the recent trajectory of labor market data and monetary policy signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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