Polymarket traders price a tight contest for May 2026 annual CPI, with ≥4.4% leading at 30.5%, 4.3% at 29.5%, and 4.2% at 23.0%, implying consensus around 4.3% amid heightened uncertainty from April's hotter-than-expected 3.8% year-over-year print—the highest since May 2023. This surge, driven by a 17.9% energy price jump tied to Middle East oil disruptions from the Iran conflict and faster core CPI gains, has eroded disinflation momentum, prompting upward revisions in economist forecasts. Key swing factors include May shelter costs, base effects, and ongoing commodity volatility, with resolution hinging on the June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release ahead of the next FOMC meeting. Prediction markets reflect real-capital bets on sticky inflation tempering rate-cut odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于≥4.4% 31%
4.3% 31%
4.2% 24%
4.1% 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-10
≤3.3%
2%
3.4%
1%
3.5%
2%
3.6%
1%
3.7%
3%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
4%
4.0%
3%
4.1%
8%
4.2%
24%
4.3%
31%
≥4.4%
31%
≥4.4% 31%
4.3% 31%
4.2% 24%
4.1% 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-10
≤3.3%
$269 交易量
2%
3.4%
$115 交易量
1%
3.5%
$511 交易量
2%
3.6%
$286 交易量
1%
3.7%
$240 交易量
3%
3.8%
$234 交易量
1%
3.9%
$258 交易量
4%
4.0%
$361 交易量
3%
4.1%
$1,348 交易量
8%
4.2%
$1,386 交易量
24%
4.3%
$572 交易量
31%
≥4.4%
$1,796 交易量
31%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders price a tight contest for May 2026 annual CPI, with ≥4.4% leading at 30.5%, 4.3% at 29.5%, and 4.2% at 23.0%, implying consensus around 4.3% amid heightened uncertainty from April's hotter-than-expected 3.8% year-over-year print—the highest since May 2023. This surge, driven by a 17.9% energy price jump tied to Middle East oil disruptions from the Iran conflict and faster core CPI gains, has eroded disinflation momentum, prompting upward revisions in economist forecasts. Key swing factors include May shelter costs, base effects, and ongoing commodity volatility, with resolution hinging on the June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release ahead of the next FOMC meeting. Prediction markets reflect real-capital bets on sticky inflation tempering rate-cut odds.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
交易量
$7,376结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders price a tight contest for May 2026 annual CPI, with ≥4.4% leading at 30.5%, 4.3% at 29.5%, and 4.2% at 23.0%, implying consensus around 4.3% amid heightened uncertainty from April's hotter-than-expected 3.8% year-over-year print—the highest since May 2023. This surge, driven by a 17.9% energy price jump tied to Middle East oil disruptions from the Iran conflict and faster core CPI gains, has eroded disinflation momentum, prompting upward revisions in economist forecasts. Key swing factors include May shelter costs, base effects, and ongoing commodity volatility, with resolution hinging on the June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release ahead of the next FOMC meeting. Prediction markets reflect real-capital bets on sticky inflation tempering rate-cut odds.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$7,376结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a tight contest for May 2026 annual CPI, with ≥4.4% leading at 30.5%, 4.3% at 29.5%, and 4.2% at 23.0%, implying consensus around 4.3% amid heightened uncertainty from April's hotter-than-expected 3.8% year-over-year print—the highest since May 2023. This surge, driven by a 17.9% energy price jump tied to Middle East oil disruptions from the Iran conflict and faster core CPI gains, has eroded disinflation momentum, prompting upward revisions in economist forecasts. Key swing factors include May shelter costs, base effects, and ongoing commodity volatility, with resolution hinging on the June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release ahead of the next FOMC meeting. Prediction markets reflect real-capital bets on sticky inflation tempering rate-cut odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题