Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, represent the dominant driver of ground beef prices. USDA forecasts place 2026 beef production at approximately 25.5 billion pounds, down from prior years amid ongoing herd liquidation from drought and elevated feed costs. Retail ground beef averaged near $6.90 per pound in April 2026, following double-digit annual gains, with imports rising to offset lean-trim shortages. Strong consumer demand has supported these levels despite higher prices, while 2026 outlooks from USDA project further retail beef price increases of 10% or more. Market-implied odds for elevated thresholds reflect these persistent supply constraints and limited near-term herd rebuilding.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,835 交易量
2026-12-31
7.000美元以上
75%
8.000美元+
56%
$9.000+
38%
10.000美元以上
13%
$18,835 交易量
7.000美元以上
$50 交易量
75%
8.000美元+
$1,518 交易量
56%
$9.000+
$22 交易量
38%
10.000美元以上
$17,245 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, represent the dominant driver of ground beef prices. USDA forecasts place 2026 beef production at approximately 25.5 billion pounds, down from prior years amid ongoing herd liquidation from drought and elevated feed costs. Retail ground beef averaged near $6.90 per pound in April 2026, following double-digit annual gains, with imports rising to offset lean-trim shortages. Strong consumer demand has supported these levels despite higher prices, while 2026 outlooks from USDA project further retail beef price increases of 10% or more. Market-implied odds for elevated thresholds reflect these persistent supply constraints and limited near-term herd rebuilding.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$18,835结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, represent the dominant driver of ground beef prices. USDA forecasts place 2026 beef production at approximately 25.5 billion pounds, down from prior years amid ongoing herd liquidation from drought and elevated feed costs. Retail ground beef averaged near $6.90 per pound in April 2026, following double-digit annual gains, with imports rising to offset lean-trim shortages. Strong consumer demand has supported these levels despite higher prices, while 2026 outlooks from USDA project further retail beef price increases of 10% or more. Market-implied odds for elevated thresholds reflect these persistent supply constraints and limited near-term herd rebuilding.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$18,835结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, represent the dominant driver of ground beef prices. USDA forecasts place 2026 beef production at approximately 25.5 billion pounds, down from prior years amid ongoing herd liquidation from drought and elevated feed costs. Retail ground beef averaged near $6.90 per pound in April 2026, following double-digit annual gains, with imports rising to offset lean-trim shortages. Strong consumer demand has supported these levels despite higher prices, while 2026 outlooks from USDA project further retail beef price increases of 10% or more. Market-implied odds for elevated thresholds reflect these persistent supply constraints and limited near-term herd rebuilding.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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