Tight US cattle supplies, with the national herd at an 86.2 million head 75-year low as of January 1, 2026, remain the dominant driver of elevated ground beef prices amid ongoing herd contraction. USDA forecasts point to wholesale beef prices rising 6.9% and farm-level cattle prices up 6.1% for the year, following sharp gains in 2025, as beef production is projected to decline nearly 1% to 25.5 billion pounds. Recent data show national average ground beef at $6.90 per pound in April 2026, up from prior levels, with strong consumer demand and limited lean-trim imports providing only partial offset. Key catalysts ahead include summer demand patterns, potential weather effects on feed costs, and any early signs of herd rebuilding, which analysts expect no earlier than 2028.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,835 交易量
2026-12-31
7.000美元以上
76%
8.000美元+
58%
$9.000+
37%
10.000美元以上
12%
$18,835 交易量
7.000美元以上
$50 交易量
76%
8.000美元+
$1,518 交易量
58%
$9.000+
$22 交易量
37%
10.000美元以上
$17,245 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight US cattle supplies, with the national herd at an 86.2 million head 75-year low as of January 1, 2026, remain the dominant driver of elevated ground beef prices amid ongoing herd contraction. USDA forecasts point to wholesale beef prices rising 6.9% and farm-level cattle prices up 6.1% for the year, following sharp gains in 2025, as beef production is projected to decline nearly 1% to 25.5 billion pounds. Recent data show national average ground beef at $6.90 per pound in April 2026, up from prior levels, with strong consumer demand and limited lean-trim imports providing only partial offset. Key catalysts ahead include summer demand patterns, potential weather effects on feed costs, and any early signs of herd rebuilding, which analysts expect no earlier than 2028.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$18,835结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight US cattle supplies, with the national herd at an 86.2 million head 75-year low as of January 1, 2026, remain the dominant driver of elevated ground beef prices amid ongoing herd contraction. USDA forecasts point to wholesale beef prices rising 6.9% and farm-level cattle prices up 6.1% for the year, following sharp gains in 2025, as beef production is projected to decline nearly 1% to 25.5 billion pounds. Recent data show national average ground beef at $6.90 per pound in April 2026, up from prior levels, with strong consumer demand and limited lean-trim imports providing only partial offset. Key catalysts ahead include summer demand patterns, potential weather effects on feed costs, and any early signs of herd rebuilding, which analysts expect no earlier than 2028.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$18,835结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight US cattle supplies, with the national herd at an 86.2 million head 75-year low as of January 1, 2026, remain the dominant driver of elevated ground beef prices amid ongoing herd contraction. USDA forecasts point to wholesale beef prices rising 6.9% and farm-level cattle prices up 6.1% for the year, following sharp gains in 2025, as beef production is projected to decline nearly 1% to 25.5 billion pounds. Recent data show national average ground beef at $6.90 per pound in April 2026, up from prior levels, with strong consumer demand and limited lean-trim imports providing only partial offset. Key catalysts ahead include summer demand patterns, potential weather effects on feed costs, and any early signs of herd rebuilding, which analysts expect no earlier than 2028.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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