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关税 预测与赔率

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Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

10%

$36.1K 交易量

$9.6K Liq.

5

Ends 大约 1 个月内

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

3%

$144K 交易量

$13.5K Liq.

Ends 大约 6 小时内

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

79%

$492 交易量

$15.1K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

27%

$1.1K 交易量

$2.6K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

3%

$47.3K 交易量

$9.4K Liq.

4

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

7%

$11.7K 交易量

$12.1K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

What price will Ethena hit in May?

What price will Ethena hit in May?

32%

↓ 0.08

$25.1K 交易量

$20.2K Liq.

Ends 1 天内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

52%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$5.3K Liq.

130

Ends 7 个月内

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

79%

↓ 0.0014

$107K 交易量

$10.9K Liq.

2

Ends 7 个月内

What price will Solana hit in May?

What price will Solana hit in May?

<1%

↑ 170

$3M 交易量

$437K Liq.

Ends 1 天内

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

29%

↑ $3

$662K 交易量

$108K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

What price will BNB hit in May?

What price will BNB hit in May?

100%

↑ 700

$62.1K 交易量

$77.5K Liq.

Ends 1 天内

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

<1%

↓ 38

$409K 交易量

$57.5K Liq.

Ends 1 天内

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

18%

June 30

$164K 交易量

$23.8K Liq.

10

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

37%

↑ 75,000

$41M 交易量

$2M today

$3M Liq.

2

Ends 1 天内

WTT - Women's Singles: Yu-Bin Shin vs Tung-Chuan Chien

WTT - Women's Singles: Yu-Bin Shin vs Tung-Chuan Chien

Shin

$81 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 3 个月前

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 1?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 1?

98%

$730

$3.1K 交易量

$21.0K Liq.

Ends 2 天内

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

70%

$21.8K 交易量

$1.6K Liq.

1

Ends 7 个月内

What price will Chainlink hit in May?

What price will Chainlink hit in May?

5%

↓ 8

$26.5K 交易量

$46.3K Liq.

Ends 1 天内

T20 Blast: Essex vs Derbyshire

T20 Blast: Essex vs Derbyshire

53%

Derbyshire

$348 交易量

$2.1K Liq.

Ends 8 天内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 关税 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 106 个活跃的 关税 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $48.0M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"What price will Bitcoin hit in May?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"What price will Bitcoin hit in May?",市场目前认为 ↓ 75,000 的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 关税 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。