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地缘政治·特朗普

2027年之前，特朗普将与哪些国家达成新的贸易协议？

Market icon
地缘政治·特朗普

2027年之前，特朗普将与哪些国家达成新的贸易协议？

Dec 31

Dec 31

$137,512 交易量

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$137,512 交易量

Polymarket

印度

$34,156 交易量

25%

巴西

$2,777 交易量

24%

墨西哥

$0 交易量

23%

英国

$343 交易量

23%

以色列

$0 交易量

22%

巴基斯坦

$67,110 交易量

21%

加拿大

$0 交易量

20%

日本

$4,217 交易量

19%

台湾

$0 交易量

19%

印度尼西亚

$0 交易量

18%

欧盟

$3,913 交易量

16%

俄罗斯

$1,765 交易量

16%

韩国

$0 交易量

15%

南非

$0 交易量

15%

阿根廷

$18,424 交易量

15%

越南

$4,806 交易量

14%

澳大利亚

$0 交易量

12%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President-elect Donald Trump's post-election tariff threats—25% on Mexico and Canada unless they curb migration and fentanyl, and up to 60% on China—have prompted immediate diplomatic overtures, framing potential new bilateral trade deals before 2027 as negotiation incentives under his America First agenda. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum committed to border security enhancements, while Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau affirmed cooperation talks. Trump has signaled interest in pacts with the UK (post-Brexit), India (following a call with PM Narendra Modi), Japan, and Argentina, aiming to diversify supply chains. USTR nominee Jamieson Greer's Senate confirmation and January 20, 2025, inauguration loom as catalysts, with first-100-days executive actions likely to accelerate deal-making amid escalating global trade tensions.

President-elect Donald Trump's post-election tariff threats—25% on Mexico and Canada unless they curb migration and fentanyl, and up to 60% on China—have prompted immediate diplomatic overtures, framing potential new bilateral trade deals before 2027 as negotiation incentives under his America First agenda. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum committed to border security enhancements, while Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau affirmed cooperation talks. Trump has signaled interest in pacts with the UK (post-Brexit), India (following a call with PM Narendra Modi), Japan, and Argentina, aiming to diversify supply chains. USTR nominee Jamieson Greer's Senate confirmation and January 20, 2025, inauguration loom as catalysts, with first-100-days executive actions likely to accelerate deal-making amid escalating global trade tensions.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President-elect Donald Trump's post-election tariff threats—25% on Mexico and Canada unless they curb migration and fentanyl, and up to 60% on China—have prompted immediate diplomatic overtures, framing potential new bilateral trade deals before 2027 as negotiation incentives under his America First agenda. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum committed to border security enhancements, while Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau affirmed cooperation talks. Trump has signaled interest in pacts with the UK (post-Brexit), India (following a call with PM Narendra Modi), Japan, and Argentina, aiming to diversify supply chains. USTR nominee Jamieson Greer's Senate confirmation and January 20, 2025, inauguration loom as catalysts, with first-100-days executive actions likely to accelerate deal-making amid escalating global trade tensions.

President-elect Donald Trump's post-election tariff threats—25% on Mexico and Canada unless they curb migration and fentanyl, and up to 60% on China—have prompted immediate diplomatic overtures, framing potential new bilateral trade deals before 2027 as negotiation incentives under his America First agenda. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum committed to border security enhancements, while Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau affirmed cooperation talks. Trump has signaled interest in pacts with the UK (post-Brexit), India (following a call with PM Narendra Modi), Japan, and Argentina, aiming to diversify supply chains. USTR nominee Jamieson Greer's Senate confirmation and January 20, 2025, inauguration loom as catalysts, with first-100-days executive actions likely to accelerate deal-making amid escalating global trade tensions.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2027年之前，特朗普将与哪些国家达成新的贸易协议？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 17 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"印度"，概率为 25%，其次是"巴西"，概率为 24%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 25¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 25%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2027年之前，特朗普将与哪些国家达成新的贸易协议？"已产生 $137.5K 的总交易量（自Nov 5, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2027年之前，特朗普将与哪些国家达成新的贸易协议？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 17 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2027年之前，特朗普将与哪些国家达成新的贸易协议？"的当前领先者是"印度"，概率为 25%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 25%。紧随其后的结果是"巴西"，概率为 24%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2027年之前，特朗普将与哪些国家达成新的贸易协议？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。