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地缘政治·特朗普

2027年之前，特朗普将与哪些国家达成新的贸易协议？

Market icon
地缘政治·特朗普

2027年之前，特朗普将与哪些国家达成新的贸易协议？

Dec 31

Dec 31

$139,512 交易量

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$139,512 交易量

Polymarket

印度

$34,402 交易量

25%

巴西

$2,777 交易量

25%

墨西哥

$0 交易量

24%

英国

$343 交易量

23%

以色列

$0 交易量

22%

巴基斯坦

$67,503 交易量

21%

加拿大

$0 交易量

20%

日本

$4,217 交易量

19%

台湾

$0 交易量

19%

印度尼西亚

$0 交易量

18%

欧盟

$3,975 交易量

15%

阿根廷

$18,424 交易量

15%

韩国

$0 交易量

15%

俄罗斯

$1,765 交易量

15%

南非

$0 交易量

15%

越南

$4,806 交易量

14%

澳大利亚

$1,300 交易量

13%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's administration has signed several bilateral reciprocal trade agreements since early 2025, using tariffs as leverage to secure U.S. market access and investments, with the most recent being the U.S.-Ecuador deal on March 13, 2026, followed by the USTR's March 15 release of the 2026 Trade Policy Agenda outlining continued enforcement and new bilateral negotiations. Prior key pacts include India (February 9), Indonesia (February 19), Japan (February 17), and Taiwan (January 15), prioritizing American farmers, semiconductors, and energy exports. Ongoing talks with nations like the UK—amid tariff threats—and Argentina could yield further deals before January 2027, though congressional ratification or executive actions remain hurdles in this fast-evolving tariff-driven strategy.

President Trump's administration has signed several bilateral reciprocal trade agreements since early 2025, using tariffs as leverage to secure U.S. market access and investments, with the most recent being the U.S.-Ecuador deal on March 13, 2026, followed by the USTR's March 15 release of the 2026 Trade Policy Agenda outlining continued enforcement and new bilateral negotiations. Prior key pacts include India (February 9), Indonesia (February 19), Japan (February 17), and Taiwan (January 15), prioritizing American farmers, semiconductors, and energy exports. Ongoing talks with nations like the UK—amid tariff threats—and Argentina could yield further deals before January 2027, though congressional ratification or executive actions remain hurdles in this fast-evolving tariff-driven strategy.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's administration has signed several bilateral reciprocal trade agreements since early 2025, using tariffs as leverage to secure U.S. market access and investments, with the most recent being the U.S.-Ecuador deal on March 13, 2026, followed by the USTR's March 15 release of the 2026 Trade Policy Agenda outlining continued enforcement and new bilateral negotiations. Prior key pacts include India (February 9), Indonesia (February 19), Japan (February 17), and Taiwan (January 15), prioritizing American farmers, semiconductors, and energy exports. Ongoing talks with nations like the UK—amid tariff threats—and Argentina could yield further deals before January 2027, though congressional ratification or executive actions remain hurdles in this fast-evolving tariff-driven strategy.

President Trump's administration has signed several bilateral reciprocal trade agreements since early 2025, using tariffs as leverage to secure U.S. market access and investments, with the most recent being the U.S.-Ecuador deal on March 13, 2026, followed by the USTR's March 15 release of the 2026 Trade Policy Agenda outlining continued enforcement and new bilateral negotiations. Prior key pacts include India (February 9), Indonesia (February 19), Japan (February 17), and Taiwan (January 15), prioritizing American farmers, semiconductors, and energy exports. Ongoing talks with nations like the UK—amid tariff threats—and Argentina could yield further deals before January 2027, though congressional ratification or executive actions remain hurdles in this fast-evolving tariff-driven strategy.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2027年之前，特朗普将与哪些国家达成新的贸易协议？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 17 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"印度"，概率为 25%，其次是"巴西"，概率为 25%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 25¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 25%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2027年之前，特朗普将与哪些国家达成新的贸易协议？"已产生 $139.5K 的总交易量（自Nov 5, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2027年之前，特朗普将与哪些国家达成新的贸易协议？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 17 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2027年之前，特朗普将与哪些国家达成新的贸易协议？"的当前领先者是"印度"，概率为 25%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 25%。紧随其后的结果是"巴西"，概率为 25%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2027年之前，特朗普将与哪些国家达成新的贸易协议？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。