Trader consensus on Polymarket prices South Korea's 2026 annual inflation in a tight race, with 1.8%-2.0% (26%) edging 2.4%-2.6% (25%), reflecting uncertainty over the disinflation trajectory amid cooling pressures. September 2024 headline CPI eased to 2.2% year-over-year from 2.3%, core at 2.4%, while the Bank of Korea held its policy rate at 3.5% on October 31, citing stable inflation expectations near the 2% target. BOK and analyst forecasts converge around 2.0% for 2026, but sticky core readings and global commodity risks sustain viability for higher bins like 3.0%+ (22.5%). Key differentiators include upcoming October CPI (due early November) and December BOK meeting, which could signal rate cuts if demand weakens further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于1.8%到2.0% 26%
2.4%到2.6% 25%
3.0%及以上 23%
1.5%到1.7% 22%
低于1.5%
18%
1.5%到1.7%
22%
1.8%到2.0%
26%
2.1%到2.3%
7%
2.4%到2.6%
25%
2.7%至2.9%
19%
3.0%及以上
23%
1.8%到2.0% 26%
2.4%到2.6% 25%
3.0%及以上 23%
1.5%到1.7% 22%
低于1.5%
18%
1.5%到1.7%
22%
1.8%到2.0%
26%
2.1%到2.3%
7%
2.4%到2.6%
25%
2.7%至2.9%
19%
3.0%及以上
23%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
市场开放时间: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices South Korea's 2026 annual inflation in a tight race, with 1.8%-2.0% (26%) edging 2.4%-2.6% (25%), reflecting uncertainty over the disinflation trajectory amid cooling pressures. September 2024 headline CPI eased to 2.2% year-over-year from 2.3%, core at 2.4%, while the Bank of Korea held its policy rate at 3.5% on October 31, citing stable inflation expectations near the 2% target. BOK and analyst forecasts converge around 2.0% for 2026, but sticky core readings and global commodity risks sustain viability for higher bins like 3.0%+ (22.5%). Key differentiators include upcoming October CPI (due early November) and December BOK meeting, which could signal rate cuts if demand weakens further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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