Polymarket's trader consensus prices South Korea's 2026 annual inflation across a narrow band, with 1.8%-2.0% (26%), 2.4%-2.6% (25%), and 1.5%-1.7% (23.5%) leading amid September 2024 CPI at 1.6% year-over-year—the lowest since February 2021—driven by easing food and energy prices. Core CPI remained sticky at 1.9%, buoyed by wage growth exceeding 5% and housing costs, anchoring expectations near the Bank of Korea's 2% target. Consensus forecasts from OECD and IMF cluster around 2.0%-2.1%, but global risks like U.S. tariff policies and semiconductor export volatility create competitive dynamics favoring both sub-2% disinflation and mild reacceleration. Key catalysts: November CPI data and Bank of Korea's rate decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于1.8%到2.0% 26%
2.4%到2.6% 26%
1.5%到1.7% 24%
3.0%及以上 23%
低于1.5%
23%
1.5%到1.7%
24%
1.8%到2.0%
26%
2.1%到2.3%
9%
2.4%到2.6%
26%
2.7%至2.9%
19%
3.0%及以上
23%
1.8%到2.0% 26%
2.4%到2.6% 26%
1.5%到1.7% 24%
3.0%及以上 23%
低于1.5%
23%
1.5%到1.7%
24%
1.8%到2.0%
26%
2.1%到2.3%
9%
2.4%到2.6%
26%
2.7%至2.9%
19%
3.0%及以上
23%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
市场开放时间: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket's trader consensus prices South Korea's 2026 annual inflation across a narrow band, with 1.8%-2.0% (26%), 2.4%-2.6% (25%), and 1.5%-1.7% (23.5%) leading amid September 2024 CPI at 1.6% year-over-year—the lowest since February 2021—driven by easing food and energy prices. Core CPI remained sticky at 1.9%, buoyed by wage growth exceeding 5% and housing costs, anchoring expectations near the Bank of Korea's 2% target. Consensus forecasts from OECD and IMF cluster around 2.0%-2.1%, but global risks like U.S. tariff policies and semiconductor export volatility create competitive dynamics favoring both sub-2% disinflation and mild reacceleration. Key catalysts: November CPI data and Bank of Korea's rate decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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