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财务·每月

第二大公司3月底？

Market icon
财务·每月

第二大公司3月底？

Ended: 3月 31

4月 30

Ended: 3月 31

4月 30

苹果 100.0%

微软 <1%

Alphabet <1%

沙特阿美 <1%

Polymarket

$2,734,096 交易量

苹果 100.0%

微软 <1%

Alphabet <1%

沙特阿美 <1%

Polymarket

$2,734,096 交易量

Market icon

微软

$260,892 交易量

否

Market icon

Alphabet

$435,044 交易量

否

Market icon

沙特阿美

$214,675 交易量

否

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英伟达

$229,197 交易量

否

Market icon

苹果

$486,997 交易量

是

Market icon

特斯拉

$836,792 交易量

否

Market icon

亚马逊

$270,498 交易量

否

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around Apple as the second-largest company by market capitalization at March 31, 2026, close, with a 100% implied probability reflecting its $3.73 trillion valuation—firmly behind NVIDIA's $4.24 trillion lead but ahead of Alphabet's $3.46 trillion and Microsoft's $2.70 trillion. This positioning stems from NVIDIA's sustained AI chip dominance driving its top spot, while Apple's resilient services revenue growth and iPhone ecosystem stability have maintained its runner-up status amid volatile tech sector rotations over the past month. Strong capital inflows underscore the wisdom of crowds, though rare tail risks like after-hours surges in challengers or data revisions could theoretically shift rankings before final confirmation.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,734,096
结束日期
2026-03-31
市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 4:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around Apple as the second-largest company by market capitalization at March 31, 2026, close, with a 100% implied probability reflecting its $3.73 trillion valuation—firmly behind NVIDIA's $4.24 trillion lead but ahead of Alphabet's $3.46 trillion and Microsoft's $2.70 trillion. This positioning stems from NVIDIA's sustained AI chip dominance driving its top spot, while Apple's resilient services revenue growth and iPhone ecosystem stability have maintained its runner-up status amid volatile tech sector rotations over the past month. Strong capital inflows underscore the wisdom of crowds, though rare tail risks like after-hours surges in challengers or data revisions could theoretically shift rankings before final confirmation.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,734,096
结束日期
2026-03-31
市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 4:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"第二大公司3月底？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"苹果"，概率为 100%，其次是"微软"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"第二大公司3月底？"已产生 $2.7 million 的总交易量（自Dec 23, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"第二大公司3月底？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"第二大公司3月底？"的当前领先者是"苹果"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"微软"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"第二大公司3月底？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。