Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors $X at 46.5% implied probability for SpaceX's eventual public ticker, driven by Elon Musk's branding obsession—evident in his X rebrand of Twitter and xAI ventures—fueling speculation it could echo Tesla's $TSLA playbook. $STAR trails at 13.9%, boosted by ongoing Starlink IPO rumors, with Musk hinting at a 2025 spin-off amid its $10B+ annual revenue run rate. Meme-inspired options like $SPAX (9.9%) nod to SPAC deals, while $SX and $MARS reflect launchpad hype from Starship Flight 5's October success, which propelled private valuation to $250 billion via tender offers. No IPO timeline exists—Musk insists SpaceX stays private until Mars milestones—but regulatory filings and earnings chatter keep odds volatile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$X 47%
$STAR 13.9%
$SPAX 9.9%
分组项标题:$SX 6.7%
$2,705,523 交易量
$2,705,523 交易量
$X
47%
$STAR
14%
$SPAX
10%
分组项标题:$SX
7%
分组项标题:$MARS
5%
分组项标题:$SPACE
4%
分组项标题:$SEX
3%
$SPC
<1%
$X 47%
$STAR 13.9%
$SPAX 9.9%
分组项标题:$SX 6.7%
$2,705,523 交易量
$2,705,523 交易量
$X
47%
$STAR
14%
$SPAX
10%
分组项标题:$SX
7%
分组项标题:$MARS
5%
分组项标题:$SPACE
4%
分组项标题:$SEX
3%
$SPC
<1%
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间: Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors $X at 46.5% implied probability for SpaceX's eventual public ticker, driven by Elon Musk's branding obsession—evident in his X rebrand of Twitter and xAI ventures—fueling speculation it could echo Tesla's $TSLA playbook. $STAR trails at 13.9%, boosted by ongoing Starlink IPO rumors, with Musk hinting at a 2025 spin-off amid its $10B+ annual revenue run rate. Meme-inspired options like $SPAX (9.9%) nod to SPAC deals, while $SX and $MARS reflect launchpad hype from Starship Flight 5's October success, which propelled private valuation to $250 billion via tender offers. No IPO timeline exists—Musk insists SpaceX stays private until Mars milestones—but regulatory filings and earnings chatter keep odds volatile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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