Trader consensus heavily favors $X at 46% implied probability for SpaceX's public ticker, driven by Elon Musk's persistent "X" branding affinity, evident in X.com's legacy and Twitter's rebrand to $X. $STAR follows at 14%, fueled by speculation on a Starlink satellite internet spin-off IPO—Musk indicated possible post-2024 commercialization—potentially decoupling from core rocket ops. $SPAX (10%) nods to SPAC merger precedents, while $SX and others reflect shorthand bets. No IPO filings exist; Musk reiterated in 2024 interviews that SpaceX stays private until Mars missions mature, amid $210B+ valuations from recent tenders. Odds shift on funding news, Starship tests, and FCC spectrum approvals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$X 46%
$STAR 13.9%
$SPAX 10.0%
分组项标题:$SX 6.7%
$2,705,445 交易量
$2,705,445 交易量
$X
46%
$STAR
14%
$SPAX
10%
分组项标题:$SX
7%
分组项标题:$MARS
5%
分组项标题:$SPACE
4%
分组项标题:$SEX
3%
$SPC
1%
$X 46%
$STAR 13.9%
$SPAX 10.0%
分组项标题:$SX 6.7%
$2,705,445 交易量
$2,705,445 交易量
$X
46%
$STAR
14%
$SPAX
10%
分组项标题:$SX
7%
分组项标题:$MARS
5%
分组项标题:$SPACE
4%
分组项标题:$SEX
3%
$SPC
1%
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间: Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors $X at 46% implied probability for SpaceX's public ticker, driven by Elon Musk's persistent "X" branding affinity, evident in X.com's legacy and Twitter's rebrand to $X. $STAR follows at 14%, fueled by speculation on a Starlink satellite internet spin-off IPO—Musk indicated possible post-2024 commercialization—potentially decoupling from core rocket ops. $SPAX (10%) nods to SPAC merger precedents, while $SX and others reflect shorthand bets. No IPO filings exist; Musk reiterated in 2024 interviews that SpaceX stays private until Mars missions mature, amid $210B+ valuations from recent tenders. Odds shift on funding news, Starship tests, and FCC spectrum approvals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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