Recent confidential SEC filings and accelerating preparations for a potential June 2026 Nasdaq debut have solidified trader expectations for a robust closing market cap, with the 2.0T+ outcome commanding 74.5% implied probability. SpaceX’s latest secondary share sales at roughly $800 billion provide a baseline, yet aggressive forward revenue projections from Starlink’s subscriber growth and Starship reusability milestones are driving optimism for premium pricing at or above $1.75 trillion. Elon Musk’s public comments on expediting the process, combined with $22 billion in active government contracts and plans to fund orbital AI infrastructure, reinforce the market’s view that execution risks remain manageable in the near term while highlighting the potential for last-minute valuation adjustments based on prospectus details and roadshow feedback.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2万亿美元以上 75%
1.8万亿–2.0万亿 12%
1.6万亿–1.8万亿 5.6%
1.4万亿–1.6万亿 3.6%
$1,001,462 交易量
$1,001,462 交易量
2027-12-31
2028年前不上市
1%
低于 1.0 万亿美元
2%
1.0万亿–1.2万亿
1%
1.2万亿–1.4万亿
2%
1.4万亿–1.6万亿
4%
1.6万亿–1.8万亿
6%
1.8万亿–2.0万亿
12%
2万亿美元以上
75%
2万亿美元以上 75%
1.8万亿–2.0万亿 12%
1.6万亿–1.8万亿 5.6%
1.4万亿–1.6万亿 3.6%
$1,001,462 交易量
$1,001,462 交易量
2027-12-31
2028年前不上市
$200,169 交易量
1%
低于 1.0 万亿美元
$88,766 交易量
2%
1.0万亿–1.2万亿
$56,521 交易量
1%
1.2万亿–1.4万亿
$74,525 交易量
2%
1.4万亿–1.6万亿
$120,037 交易量
4%
1.6万亿–1.8万亿
$122,116 交易量
6%
1.8万亿–2.0万亿
$110,748 交易量
12%
2万亿美元以上
$228,579 交易量
75%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent confidential SEC filings and accelerating preparations for a potential June 2026 Nasdaq debut have solidified trader expectations for a robust closing market cap, with the 2.0T+ outcome commanding 74.5% implied probability. SpaceX’s latest secondary share sales at roughly $800 billion provide a baseline, yet aggressive forward revenue projections from Starlink’s subscriber growth and Starship reusability milestones are driving optimism for premium pricing at or above $1.75 trillion. Elon Musk’s public comments on expediting the process, combined with $22 billion in active government contracts and plans to fund orbital AI infrastructure, reinforce the market’s view that execution risks remain manageable in the near term while highlighting the potential for last-minute valuation adjustments based on prospectus details and roadshow feedback.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
交易量
$1,001,462结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent confidential SEC filings and accelerating preparations for a potential June 2026 Nasdaq debut have solidified trader expectations for a robust closing market cap, with the 2.0T+ outcome commanding 74.5% implied probability. SpaceX’s latest secondary share sales at roughly $800 billion provide a baseline, yet aggressive forward revenue projections from Starlink’s subscriber growth and Starship reusability milestones are driving optimism for premium pricing at or above $1.75 trillion. Elon Musk’s public comments on expediting the process, combined with $22 billion in active government contracts and plans to fund orbital AI infrastructure, reinforce the market’s view that execution risks remain manageable in the near term while highlighting the potential for last-minute valuation adjustments based on prospectus details and roadshow feedback.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$1,001,462结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent confidential SEC filings and accelerating preparations for a potential June 2026 Nasdaq debut have solidified trader expectations for a robust closing market cap, with the 2.0T+ outcome commanding 74.5% implied probability. SpaceX’s latest secondary share sales at roughly $800 billion provide a baseline, yet aggressive forward revenue projections from Starlink’s subscriber growth and Starship reusability milestones are driving optimism for premium pricing at or above $1.75 trillion. Elon Musk’s public comments on expediting the process, combined with $22 billion in active government contracts and plans to fund orbital AI infrastructure, reinforce the market’s view that execution risks remain manageable in the near term while highlighting the potential for last-minute valuation adjustments based on prospectus details and roadshow feedback.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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