NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Orion spacecraft and Space Launch System (SLS) rocket, targets liftoff no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Launch Pad 39B, marking the initial human lunar flyby since Apollo. Trader consensus reflects accelerating momentum from key recent milestones: the SLS-Orion stack's rollout to the pad on March 19 after expedited Vehicle Assembly Building preparations, crew quarantine starting March 18, and astronauts' arrival at the spaceport on March 27 amid finalized risk assessments. These validate critical deep-space technologies like life support and heat shield performance during the 10-day trajectory. Upcoming catalysts include launch weather windows through early April and real-time systems telemetry, with historical precedents underscoring potential for last-minute technical or environmental delays.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$678,660 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
<1%
4月30日
77%
$678,660 交易量
3月31日
$185,896 交易量
<1%
4月30日
$114,064 交易量
77%
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Orion spacecraft and Space Launch System (SLS) rocket, targets liftoff no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Launch Pad 39B, marking the initial human lunar flyby since Apollo. Trader consensus reflects accelerating momentum from key recent milestones: the SLS-Orion stack's rollout to the pad on March 19 after expedited Vehicle Assembly Building preparations, crew quarantine starting March 18, and astronauts' arrival at the spaceport on March 27 amid finalized risk assessments. These validate critical deep-space technologies like life support and heat shield performance during the 10-day trajectory. Upcoming catalysts include launch weather windows through early April and real-time systems telemetry, with historical precedents underscoring potential for last-minute technical or environmental delays.
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
市场开放时间： Jan 20, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$678,660结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Orion spacecraft and Space Launch System (SLS) rocket, targets liftoff no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Launch Pad 39B, marking the initial human lunar flyby since Apollo. Trader consensus reflects accelerating momentum from key recent milestones: the SLS-Orion stack's rollout to the pad on March 19 after expedited Vehicle Assembly Building preparations, crew quarantine starting March 18, and astronauts' arrival at the spaceport on March 27 amid finalized risk assessments. These validate critical deep-space technologies like life support and heat shield performance during the 10-day trajectory. Upcoming catalysts include launch weather windows through early April and real-time systems telemetry, with historical precedents underscoring potential for last-minute technical or environmental delays.
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
交易量
$678,660结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Orion spacecraft and Space Launch System (SLS) rocket, targets liftoff no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Launch Pad 39B, marking the initial human lunar flyby since Apollo. Trader consensus reflects accelerating momentum from key recent milestones: the SLS-Orion stack's rollout to the pad on March 19 after expedited Vehicle Assembly Building preparations, crew quarantine starting March 18, and astronauts' arrival at the spaceport on March 27 amid finalized risk assessments. These validate critical deep-space technologies like life support and heat shield performance during the 10-day trajectory. Upcoming catalysts include launch weather windows through early April and real-time systems telemetry, with historical precedents underscoring potential for last-minute technical or environmental delays.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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