Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40.6% implied probability for SpaceX raising $50-60 billion in its anticipated 2026 IPO, reflecting caution amid aggressive media reports of $75 billion targets at $1.75-2 trillion valuations following the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1. This positioning stems from the sharp escalation from its December 2025 tender offer at an $800 billion valuation, juxtaposed against projected 2026 revenue of $20-24 billion—primarily from Starlink's subscriber growth to nine million—warranting scrutiny on 80-100x multiples in a volatile equity market. Secondary outcomes like $70-80 billion (21%) and $80-90 billion (19%) capture upside potential, with a June roadshow and retail allocation as key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$138,911 交易量
$138,911 交易量
少于400亿美元
12%
400-500亿美元
7%
500-600亿美元
41%
600-700亿
7%
700亿-800亿
21%
800亿-900亿
19%
90-100B
6%
100-1100亿
3%
1100-1200亿
3%
1200亿美元以上
1%
$138,911 交易量
$138,911 交易量
少于400亿美元
$10,245 交易量
12%
400-500亿美元
$5,637 交易量
7%
500-600亿美元
$33,167 交易量
41%
600-700亿
$14,185 交易量
7%
700亿-800亿
$24,628 交易量
21%
800亿-900亿
$15,593 交易量
19%
90-100B
$10,724 交易量
6%
100-1100亿
$7,565 交易量
3%
1100-1200亿
$9,411 交易量
3%
1200亿美元以上
$7,757 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40.6% implied probability for SpaceX raising $50-60 billion in its anticipated 2026 IPO, reflecting caution amid aggressive media reports of $75 billion targets at $1.75-2 trillion valuations following the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1. This positioning stems from the sharp escalation from its December 2025 tender offer at an $800 billion valuation, juxtaposed against projected 2026 revenue of $20-24 billion—primarily from Starlink's subscriber growth to nine million—warranting scrutiny on 80-100x multiples in a volatile equity market. Secondary outcomes like $70-80 billion (21%) and $80-90 billion (19%) capture upside potential, with a June roadshow and retail allocation as key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
交易量
$138,911市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40.6% implied probability for SpaceX raising $50-60 billion in its anticipated 2026 IPO, reflecting caution amid aggressive media reports of $75 billion targets at $1.75-2 trillion valuations following the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1. This positioning stems from the sharp escalation from its December 2025 tender offer at an $800 billion valuation, juxtaposed against projected 2026 revenue of $20-24 billion—primarily from Starlink's subscriber growth to nine million—warranting scrutiny on 80-100x multiples in a volatile equity market. Secondary outcomes like $70-80 billion (21%) and $80-90 billion (19%) capture upside potential, with a June roadshow and retail allocation as key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$138,911市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40.6% implied probability for SpaceX raising $50-60 billion in its anticipated 2026 IPO, reflecting caution amid aggressive media reports of $75 billion targets at $1.75-2 trillion valuations following the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1. This positioning stems from the sharp escalation from its December 2025 tender offer at an $800 billion valuation, juxtaposed against projected 2026 revenue of $20-24 billion—primarily from Starlink's subscriber growth to nine million—warranting scrutiny on 80-100x multiples in a volatile equity market. Secondary outcomes like $70-80 billion (21%) and $80-90 billion (19%) capture upside potential, with a June roadshow and retail allocation as key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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