SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a potential June 2026 IPO, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation, has solidified trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for a NASDAQ listing, driven by the exchange's recent rule amendment (SR-NASDAQ-2026-004) enabling rapid Nasdaq-100 inclusion just 15 days post-IPO—compelling passive index funds to buy shares and providing immediate liquidity. This edges out NYSE (0.5%), as SpaceX favors NASDAQ precedent from Elon Musk's Tesla listing, amid Nasdaq's aggressive courtship. "Other" at 7% reflects minor uncertainty over final terms, with Starlink's expanding satellite constellation and frequent Falcon 9/Starship launches bolstering valuation fundamentals. Traders await the public S-1 prospectus, due mid-May, for confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纳斯达克 90%
其他 7.1%
纽约证券交易所 <1%
$94,582 交易量
$94,582 交易量
纳斯达克
90%
其他
7%
纽约证券交易所
1%
纳斯达克 90%
其他 7.1%
纽约证券交易所 <1%
$94,582 交易量
$94,582 交易量
纳斯达克
$18,251 交易量
90%
其他
$57,782 交易量
7%
纽约证券交易所
$18,549 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a potential June 2026 IPO, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation, has solidified trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for a NASDAQ listing, driven by the exchange's recent rule amendment (SR-NASDAQ-2026-004) enabling rapid Nasdaq-100 inclusion just 15 days post-IPO—compelling passive index funds to buy shares and providing immediate liquidity. This edges out NYSE (0.5%), as SpaceX favors NASDAQ precedent from Elon Musk's Tesla listing, amid Nasdaq's aggressive courtship. "Other" at 7% reflects minor uncertainty over final terms, with Starlink's expanding satellite constellation and frequent Falcon 9/Starship launches bolstering valuation fundamentals. Traders await the public S-1 prospectus, due mid-May, for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
交易量
$94,582市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a potential June 2026 IPO, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation, has solidified trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for a NASDAQ listing, driven by the exchange's recent rule amendment (SR-NASDAQ-2026-004) enabling rapid Nasdaq-100 inclusion just 15 days post-IPO—compelling passive index funds to buy shares and providing immediate liquidity. This edges out NYSE (0.5%), as SpaceX favors NASDAQ precedent from Elon Musk's Tesla listing, amid Nasdaq's aggressive courtship. "Other" at 7% reflects minor uncertainty over final terms, with Starlink's expanding satellite constellation and frequent Falcon 9/Starship launches bolstering valuation fundamentals. Traders await the public S-1 prospectus, due mid-May, for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$94,582市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a potential June 2026 IPO, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation, has solidified trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for a NASDAQ listing, driven by the exchange's recent rule amendment (SR-NASDAQ-2026-004) enabling rapid Nasdaq-100 inclusion just 15 days post-IPO—compelling passive index funds to buy shares and providing immediate liquidity. This edges out NYSE (0.5%), as SpaceX favors NASDAQ precedent from Elon Musk's Tesla listing, amid Nasdaq's aggressive courtship. "Other" at 7% reflects minor uncertainty over final terms, with Starlink's expanding satellite constellation and frequent Falcon 9/Starship launches bolstering valuation fundamentals. Traders await the public S-1 prospectus, due mid-May, for confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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