Trader sentiment reflects a 75.5% implied probability for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by December 31, driven primarily by the early May hantavirus outbreak linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, where Andes virus cases among passengers prompted CDC's Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation and a Health Alert Network advisory. With confirmed cases dispersed across Cape Verde, Spain's Canary Islands, and U.S. states, hantavirus's up to 38% case-fatality rate and rare person-to-person potential in certain strains fuel escalation fears, despite no sustained transmission detected. No Level 3 notices exist currently—only Level 2 alerts for chikungunya in Mauritius (updated May 14), meningococcal disease, and global poliovirus—but persistent H5N1 human infections (71 U.S. cases since 2024) and measles upticks add pressure. Weekly FluView updates and surveillance data will clarify trajectories amid inherent outbreak uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$117,078 交易量
$117,078 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$117,078 交易量
$117,078 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader sentiment reflects a 75.5% implied probability for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by December 31, driven primarily by the early May hantavirus outbreak linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, where Andes virus cases among passengers prompted CDC's Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation and a Health Alert Network advisory. With confirmed cases dispersed across Cape Verde, Spain's Canary Islands, and U.S. states, hantavirus's up to 38% case-fatality rate and rare person-to-person potential in certain strains fuel escalation fears, despite no sustained transmission detected. No Level 3 notices exist currently—only Level 2 alerts for chikungunya in Mauritius (updated May 14), meningococcal disease, and global poliovirus—but persistent H5N1 human infections (71 U.S. cases since 2024) and measles upticks add pressure. Weekly FluView updates and surveillance data will clarify trajectories amid inherent outbreak uncertainties.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
交易量
$117,078结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader sentiment reflects a 75.5% implied probability for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by December 31, driven primarily by the early May hantavirus outbreak linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, where Andes virus cases among passengers prompted CDC's Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation and a Health Alert Network advisory. With confirmed cases dispersed across Cape Verde, Spain's Canary Islands, and U.S. states, hantavirus's up to 38% case-fatality rate and rare person-to-person potential in certain strains fuel escalation fears, despite no sustained transmission detected. No Level 3 notices exist currently—only Level 2 alerts for chikungunya in Mauritius (updated May 14), meningococcal disease, and global poliovirus—but persistent H5N1 human infections (71 U.S. cases since 2024) and measles upticks add pressure. Weekly FluView updates and surveillance data will clarify trajectories amid inherent outbreak uncertainties.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$117,078结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment reflects a 75.5% implied probability for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by December 31, driven primarily by the early May hantavirus outbreak linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, where Andes virus cases among passengers prompted CDC's Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation and a Health Alert Network advisory. With confirmed cases dispersed across Cape Verde, Spain's Canary Islands, and U.S. states, hantavirus's up to 38% case-fatality rate and rare person-to-person potential in certain strains fuel escalation fears, despite no sustained transmission detected. No Level 3 notices exist currently—only Level 2 alerts for chikungunya in Mauritius (updated May 14), meningococcal disease, and global poliovirus—but persistent H5N1 human infections (71 U.S. cases since 2024) and measles upticks add pressure. Weekly FluView updates and surveillance data will clarify trajectories amid inherent outbreak uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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