Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 87.5% implied probability for a new COVID variant of concern before 2027, reflecting robust population immunity from repeated vaccinations and infections that blunt severe outcomes. Recent subvariants like XEC (now dominant at 38% in U.S. circulation) and LP.8.1 have risen without sparking WHO upgrades to concern status or hospitalization spikes, as wastewater surveillance shows stable low case levels globally. The last WHO-designated variant of concern was Omicron in 2021, with ongoing genomic monitoring and updated vaccines targeting JN.1 lineages maintaining control. Unexpected immune escape plus high transmissibility could shift odds, but endemic patterns prevail.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
是
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 87.5% implied probability for a new COVID variant of concern before 2027, reflecting robust population immunity from repeated vaccinations and infections that blunt severe outcomes. Recent subvariants like XEC (now dominant at 38% in U.S. circulation) and LP.8.1 have risen without sparking WHO upgrades to concern status or hospitalization spikes, as wastewater surveillance shows stable low case levels globally. The last WHO-designated variant of concern was Omicron in 2021, with ongoing genomic monitoring and updated vaccines targeting JN.1 lineages maintaining control. Unexpected immune escape plus high transmissibility could shift odds, but endemic patterns prevail.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
市场开放时间： Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 87.5% implied probability for a new COVID variant of concern before 2027, reflecting robust population immunity from repeated vaccinations and infections that blunt severe outcomes. Recent subvariants like XEC (now dominant at 38% in U.S. circulation) and LP.8.1 have risen without sparking WHO upgrades to concern status or hospitalization spikes, as wastewater surveillance shows stable low case levels globally. The last WHO-designated variant of concern was Omicron in 2021, with ongoing genomic monitoring and updated vaccines targeting JN.1 lineages maintaining control. Unexpected immune escape plus high transmissibility could shift odds, but endemic patterns prevail.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
交易量
$0结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 87.5% implied probability for a new COVID variant of concern before 2027, reflecting robust population immunity from repeated vaccinations and infections that blunt severe outcomes. Recent subvariants like XEC (now dominant at 38% in U.S. circulation) and LP.8.1 have risen without sparking WHO upgrades to concern status or hospitalization spikes, as wastewater surveillance shows stable low case levels globally. The last WHO-designated variant of concern was Omicron in 2021, with ongoing genomic monitoring and updated vaccines targeting JN.1 lineages maintaining control. Unexpected immune escape plus high transmissibility could shift odds, but endemic patterns prevail.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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