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经济·全局费率

People's Bank of China rate change in April?

Market icon
经济·全局费率

People's Bank of China rate change in April?

No Change 94%

Decrease 6%

Increase 1.2%

Polymarket
最新

No Change 94%

Decrease 6%

Increase 1.2%

Polymarket
最新

Increase

$6,224 交易量

1%

No Change

$1,047 交易量

94%

Decrease

$274 交易量

6%

This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.Traders heavily favor no change to the People's Bank of China 7-day reverse repo rate through April 30, reflecting a tenth straight month of steady Loan Prime Rates in March amid rising inflation pressures. February CPI surged 1.3% year-over-year—a three-year high—while core CPI hit 1.8%, narrowing PPI declines, and imported inflation risks from Middle East oil shocks prompted PBOC's rare 890 billion yuan liquidity drainage on April 2 via open market operations. This cautious stance prioritizes balancing growth with inflationary risks over easing, following January's targeted tool cuts. A shift could arise from unexpectedly weak GDP data, deflation signals, or global downturns prompting cuts; hotter inflation might spur a hike, though barriers remain high given the "appropriately loose" policy posture reaffirmed recently.

This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).

An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.

A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.

If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.

An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
交易量
$7,545
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.Traders heavily favor no change to the People's Bank of China 7-day reverse repo rate through April 30, reflecting a tenth straight month of steady Loan Prime Rates in March amid rising inflation pressures. February CPI surged 1.3% year-over-year—a three-year high—while core CPI hit 1.8%, narrowing PPI declines, and imported inflation risks from Middle East oil shocks prompted PBOC's rare 890 billion yuan liquidity drainage on April 2 via open market operations. This cautious stance prioritizes balancing growth with inflationary risks over easing, following January's targeted tool cuts. A shift could arise from unexpectedly weak GDP data, deflation signals, or global downturns prompting cuts; hotter inflation might spur a hike, though barriers remain high given the "appropriately loose" policy posture reaffirmed recently.

This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).

An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.

A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.

If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.

An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
交易量
$7,545
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"People's Bank of China rate change in April?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"No Change"，概率为 94%，其次是"Decrease"，概率为 6%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 94¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 94%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"People's Bank of China rate change in April?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Mar 31, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"People's Bank of China rate change in April?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"People's Bank of China rate change in April?"的当前领先者是"No Change"，概率为 94%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 94%。紧随其后的结果是"Decrease"，概率为 6%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"People's Bank of China rate change in April?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。