Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4, 2026, driven by the latest official throughput data through April 1 averaging 2.5 million daily—well below the 2.8 million spring break forecast from Airlines for America. Recent figures peaked at 2.76 million on March 29 before dipping sharply to 2.15 million on March 31 amid TSA staffing strains from delayed paychecks during funding disruptions, with volumes rebounding modestly to 2.36 million on April 1 as lines eased post-executive order. Holy Saturday precedes Easter Sunday (April 5), potentially spurring moderate holiday travel, but sustained sub-3 million trend tempers upside expectations ahead of tomorrow's release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月4日TSA旅客人数？
4月4日TSA旅客人数？
3.0M-3.2M 41%
320万-340万 7%
340万-360万 <1%
360万-380万 <1%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
<3.0M
70%
3.0M-3.2M
41%
320万-340万
7%
340万-360万
1%
360万-380万
1%
>380万
1%
3.0M-3.2M 41%
320万-340万 7%
340万-360万 <1%
360万-380万 <1%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
<3.0M
$282 交易量
70%
3.0M-3.2M
$0 交易量
41%
320万-340万
$1,055 交易量
7%
340万-360万
$1,130 交易量
1%
360万-380万
$1,075 交易量
1%
>380万
$1,053 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4, 2026, driven by the latest official throughput data through April 1 averaging 2.5 million daily—well below the 2.8 million spring break forecast from Airlines for America. Recent figures peaked at 2.76 million on March 29 before dipping sharply to 2.15 million on March 31 amid TSA staffing strains from delayed paychecks during funding disruptions, with volumes rebounding modestly to 2.36 million on April 1 as lines eased post-executive order. Holy Saturday precedes Easter Sunday (April 5), potentially spurring moderate holiday travel, but sustained sub-3 million trend tempers upside expectations ahead of tomorrow's release.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ET
交易量
$4,596结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ETThis market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4, 2026, driven by the latest official throughput data through April 1 averaging 2.5 million daily—well below the 2.8 million spring break forecast from Airlines for America. Recent figures peaked at 2.76 million on March 29 before dipping sharply to 2.15 million on March 31 amid TSA staffing strains from delayed paychecks during funding disruptions, with volumes rebounding modestly to 2.36 million on April 1 as lines eased post-executive order. Holy Saturday precedes Easter Sunday (April 5), potentially spurring moderate holiday travel, but sustained sub-3 million trend tempers upside expectations ahead of tomorrow's release.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
交易量
$4,596结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4, 2026, driven by the latest official throughput data through April 1 averaging 2.5 million daily—well below the 2.8 million spring break forecast from Airlines for America. Recent figures peaked at 2.76 million on March 29 before dipping sharply to 2.15 million on March 31 amid TSA staffing strains from delayed paychecks during funding disruptions, with volumes rebounding modestly to 2.36 million on April 1 as lines eased post-executive order. Holy Saturday precedes Easter Sunday (April 5), potentially spurring moderate holiday travel, but sustained sub-3 million trend tempers upside expectations ahead of tomorrow's release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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