Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability for a Banco de la República rate increase at its April meeting, reflecting persistent inflation above the 3% target despite February 2026 CPI unexpectedly cooling to 5.29% year-over-year. The central bank's surprise 100 basis point hike to 10.25% in late January—its first in nearly three years—signaled hawkish resolve amid rising inflation expectations to 6.3-6.5% by year-end, driven by record minimum wage adjustments and climatic pressures. No-change trades at 10.5% capture potential pauses if upcoming March 31 decision and inflation data show further softening, while a cut at 0.3% faces steep barriers from upside risks in board minutes. Watch April 30 resolution proximity for volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于加息 88%
维持现状 9%
降息 <1%
$15,536 交易量
$15,536 交易量
降息
<1%
维持现状
9%
加息
88%
加息 88%
维持现状 9%
降息 <1%
$15,536 交易量
$15,536 交易量
降息
<1%
维持现状
9%
加息
88%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间: Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability for a Banco de la República rate increase at its April meeting, reflecting persistent inflation above the 3% target despite February 2026 CPI unexpectedly cooling to 5.29% year-over-year. The central bank's surprise 100 basis point hike to 10.25% in late January—its first in nearly three years—signaled hawkish resolve amid rising inflation expectations to 6.3-6.5% by year-end, driven by record minimum wage adjustments and climatic pressures. No-change trades at 10.5% capture potential pauses if upcoming March 31 decision and inflation data show further softening, while a cut at 0.3% faces steep barriers from upside risks in board minutes. Watch April 30 resolution proximity for volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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