Polymarket traders price a 75.5% implied probability of no change in Banxico's target rate at the May 2026 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25-basis-point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid rising headline inflation to 4.63% in early March. The split-vote decision prioritized weakening economic activity signals over price pressures, with GDP growth forecasts upgraded to 1.8% and unemployment steady at 2.7%, yet core inflation holding near 4.5% tempers further easing odds at 18%. A rate hike carries just 9.6% weight, contingent on sustained inflationary surprises. Traders eye April CPI releases and the late-April policy session as key catalysts ahead of May's resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于维持不变 76%
降息 12%
加息 9.6%
NEW
NEW
May 7, 2026
降息
17%
维持不变
76%
加息
10%
维持不变 76%
降息 12%
加息 9.6%
NEW
NEW
May 7, 2026
降息
$671 交易量
17%
维持不变
$1,582 交易量
76%
加息
$285 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 75.5% implied probability of no change in Banxico's target rate at the May 2026 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25-basis-point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid rising headline inflation to 4.63% in early March. The split-vote decision prioritized weakening economic activity signals over price pressures, with GDP growth forecasts upgraded to 1.8% and unemployment steady at 2.7%, yet core inflation holding near 4.5% tempers further easing odds at 18%. A rate hike carries just 9.6% weight, contingent on sustained inflationary surprises. Traders eye April CPI releases and the late-April policy session as key catalysts ahead of May's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$2,538结束日期
May 7, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 75.5% implied probability of no change in Banxico's target rate at the May 2026 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25-basis-point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid rising headline inflation to 4.63% in early March. The split-vote decision prioritized weakening economic activity signals over price pressures, with GDP growth forecasts upgraded to 1.8% and unemployment steady at 2.7%, yet core inflation holding near 4.5% tempers further easing odds at 18%. A rate hike carries just 9.6% weight, contingent on sustained inflationary surprises. Traders eye April CPI releases and the late-April policy session as key catalysts ahead of May's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$2,538结束日期
May 7, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 75.5% implied probability of no change in Banxico's target rate at the May 2026 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25-basis-point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid rising headline inflation to 4.63% in early March. The split-vote decision prioritized weakening economic activity signals over price pressures, with GDP growth forecasts upgraded to 1.8% and unemployment steady at 2.7%, yet core inflation holding near 4.5% tempers further easing odds at 18%. A rate hike carries just 9.6% weight, contingent on sustained inflationary surprises. Traders eye April CPI releases and the late-April policy session as key catalysts ahead of May's resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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