Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 97.9% implied probability for no change in the Reserve Bank of India's policy repo rate at 5.25% for the April 6–8 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, with the decision due April 8, reflecting the MPC's neutral stance maintained since February 2026 amid manageable inflation and growth support needs. February CPI inflation rose to 3.21%—an 11-month high but still below the 4% target—driven by food and oil pressures from West Asia tensions, yet RBI projections hold steady at low levels for FY26. This positioning echoes Reuters polls forecasting rates unchanged through mid-2027. Realistic challenges include a sharper oil shock accelerating inflation beyond 4.5% or rupee volatility prompting a hike, though growth concerns make cuts improbable ahead of March CPI data release on April 13.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于不变 97.8%
上调 2.0%
下调 <1%
$20,476 交易量
$20,476 交易量
2026-04-08
下调
<1%
不变
98%
上调
2%
不变 97.8%
上调 2.0%
下调 <1%
$20,476 交易量
$20,476 交易量
2026-04-08
下调
$3,234 交易量
<1%
不变
$12,257 交易量
98%
上调
$4,985 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 97.9% implied probability for no change in the Reserve Bank of India's policy repo rate at 5.25% for the April 6–8 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, with the decision due April 8, reflecting the MPC's neutral stance maintained since February 2026 amid manageable inflation and growth support needs. February CPI inflation rose to 3.21%—an 11-month high but still below the 4% target—driven by food and oil pressures from West Asia tensions, yet RBI projections hold steady at low levels for FY26. This positioning echoes Reuters polls forecasting rates unchanged through mid-2027. Realistic challenges include a sharper oil shock accelerating inflation beyond 4.5% or rupee volatility prompting a hike, though growth concerns make cuts improbable ahead of March CPI data release on April 13.
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Feb 6, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$20,476结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 97.9% implied probability for no change in the Reserve Bank of India's policy repo rate at 5.25% for the April 6–8 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, with the decision due April 8, reflecting the MPC's neutral stance maintained since February 2026 amid manageable inflation and growth support needs. February CPI inflation rose to 3.21%—an 11-month high but still below the 4% target—driven by food and oil pressures from West Asia tensions, yet RBI projections hold steady at low levels for FY26. This positioning echoes Reuters polls forecasting rates unchanged through mid-2027. Realistic challenges include a sharper oil shock accelerating inflation beyond 4.5% or rupee volatility prompting a hike, though growth concerns make cuts improbable ahead of March CPI data release on April 13.
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$20,476结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 97.9% implied probability for no change in the Reserve Bank of India's policy repo rate at 5.25% for the April 6–8 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, with the decision due April 8, reflecting the MPC's neutral stance maintained since February 2026 amid manageable inflation and growth support needs. February CPI inflation rose to 3.21%—an 11-month high but still below the 4% target—driven by food and oil pressures from West Asia tensions, yet RBI projections hold steady at low levels for FY26. This positioning echoes Reuters polls forecasting rates unchanged through mid-2027. Realistic challenges include a sharper oil shock accelerating inflation beyond 4.5% or rupee volatility prompting a hike, though growth concerns make cuts improbable ahead of March CPI data release on April 13.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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