Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability of a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the April 17-18 Copom meeting, reflecting cooling inflation pressures and softening economic activity. March IPCA inflation rose just 0.16% month-over-month—far below the 0.32% consensus forecast—bringing the annual rate to 3.93% within the 3% target midpoint's tolerance band, easing disinflation concerns after sticky services prices earlier. Weak industrial output and retail sales data further support monetary easing from the current 10.75% Selic level, though fiscal slippage risks have trimmed "no change" odds to 21% and kept hikes at 1.3%. Traders eye April 11 IBC-Br activity proxy for confirmation ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于下调 78%
维持不变 21%
增加 1.3%
$157,141 交易量
$157,141 交易量
Apr 28, 2026
增加
1%
维持不变
21%
下调
78%
下调 78%
维持不变 21%
增加 1.3%
$157,141 交易量
$157,141 交易量
Apr 28, 2026
增加
$88,484 交易量
1%
维持不变
$33,137 交易量
21%
下调
$35,520 交易量
78%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability of a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the April 17-18 Copom meeting, reflecting cooling inflation pressures and softening economic activity. March IPCA inflation rose just 0.16% month-over-month—far below the 0.32% consensus forecast—bringing the annual rate to 3.93% within the 3% target midpoint's tolerance band, easing disinflation concerns after sticky services prices earlier. Weak industrial output and retail sales data further support monetary easing from the current 10.75% Selic level, though fiscal slippage risks have trimmed "no change" odds to 21% and kept hikes at 1.3%. Traders eye April 11 IBC-Br activity proxy for confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
交易量
$157,141结束日期
Apr 28, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability of a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the April 17-18 Copom meeting, reflecting cooling inflation pressures and softening economic activity. March IPCA inflation rose just 0.16% month-over-month—far below the 0.32% consensus forecast—bringing the annual rate to 3.93% within the 3% target midpoint's tolerance band, easing disinflation concerns after sticky services prices earlier. Weak industrial output and retail sales data further support monetary easing from the current 10.75% Selic level, though fiscal slippage risks have trimmed "no change" odds to 21% and kept hikes at 1.3%. Traders eye April 11 IBC-Br activity proxy for confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$157,141结束日期
Apr 28, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability of a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the April 17-18 Copom meeting, reflecting cooling inflation pressures and softening economic activity. March IPCA inflation rose just 0.16% month-over-month—far below the 0.32% consensus forecast—bringing the annual rate to 3.93% within the 3% target midpoint's tolerance band, easing disinflation concerns after sticky services prices earlier. Weak industrial output and retail sales data further support monetary easing from the current 10.75% Selic level, though fiscal slippage risks have trimmed "no change" odds to 21% and kept hikes at 1.3%. Traders eye April 11 IBC-Br activity proxy for confirmation ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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