Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Germany Q1 2026 GDP growth at a modest 0.1-0.3% quarter-on-quarter (54% implied probability), driven by March's mixed leading indicators: Ifo business climate index falling to 86.4 on March 25 amid Middle East conflict concerns, ZEW economic sentiment plunging to -0.5 on March 17 due to surging energy costs, and the government's March 19 report noting appreciable early-quarter industrial slowdown after Q4 2025 strength. S&P Global flash PMIs on March 24 showed composite output easing to 51.9—a three-month low—with services decelerating despite manufacturing at a 45-month high of 51.7. These dynamics temper full-year forecasts near 1%, elevating ≤0.0% odds to 23.6% on stagnation risks; flash estimate due April 30.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于0.1-0.3% 34%
≤0.0% 29.3%
0.4-0.6% 17%
1.3%及以上 10.3%
$15,804 交易量
$15,804 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
≤0.0%
24%
0.1-0.3%
54%
0.4-0.6%
13%
0.7-0.9%
8%
1.0-1.2%
3%
1.3%及以上
11%
0.1-0.3% 34%
≤0.0% 29.3%
0.4-0.6% 17%
1.3%及以上 10.3%
$15,804 交易量
$15,804 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
≤0.0%
$681 交易量
24%
0.1-0.3%
$1,423 交易量
54%
0.4-0.6%
$13,699 交易量
13%
0.7-0.9%
$0 交易量
8%
1.0-1.2%
$0 交易量
3%
1.3%及以上
$0 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q1 of 2026, expected to be released on April 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Germany Q1 2026 GDP growth at a modest 0.1-0.3% quarter-on-quarter (54% implied probability), driven by March's mixed leading indicators: Ifo business climate index falling to 86.4 on March 25 amid Middle East conflict concerns, ZEW economic sentiment plunging to -0.5 on March 17 due to surging energy costs, and the government's March 19 report noting appreciable early-quarter industrial slowdown after Q4 2025 strength. S&P Global flash PMIs on March 24 showed composite output easing to 51.9—a three-month low—with services decelerating despite manufacturing at a 45-month high of 51.7. These dynamics temper full-year forecasts near 1%, elevating ≤0.0% odds to 23.6% on stagnation risks; flash estimate due April 30.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q1 of 2026, expected to be released on April 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
交易量
$15,804结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 7:05 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q1 of 2026, expected to be released on April 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Germany Q1 2026 GDP growth at a modest 0.1-0.3% quarter-on-quarter (54% implied probability), driven by March's mixed leading indicators: Ifo business climate index falling to 86.4 on March 25 amid Middle East conflict concerns, ZEW economic sentiment plunging to -0.5 on March 17 due to surging energy costs, and the government's March 19 report noting appreciable early-quarter industrial slowdown after Q4 2025 strength. S&P Global flash PMIs on March 24 showed composite output easing to 51.9—a three-month low—with services decelerating despite manufacturing at a 45-month high of 51.7. These dynamics temper full-year forecasts near 1%, elevating ≤0.0% odds to 23.6% on stagnation risks; flash estimate due April 30.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q1 of 2026, expected to be released on April 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$15,804结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 7:05 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Germany Q1 2026 GDP growth at a modest 0.1-0.3% quarter-on-quarter (54% implied probability), driven by March's mixed leading indicators: Ifo business climate index falling to 86.4 on March 25 amid Middle East conflict concerns, ZEW economic sentiment plunging to -0.5 on March 17 due to surging energy costs, and the government's March 19 report noting appreciable early-quarter industrial slowdown after Q4 2025 strength. S&P Global flash PMIs on March 24 showed composite output easing to 51.9—a three-month low—with services decelerating despite manufacturing at a 45-month high of 51.7. These dynamics temper full-year forecasts near 1%, elevating ≤0.0% odds to 23.6% on stagnation risks; flash estimate due April 30.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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