Eurozone GDP growth for Q1 2026 trades on consensus forecasts implying modest quarterly expansion around 0.3%, aligning with ECB staff projections of 1.5% annual growth amid sustained monetary easing. Q3 2024 GDP expanded 0.2% quarter-on-quarter per Eurostat, buoyed by resilient services and consumption despite Germany's flat output and manufacturing weakness, as October HICP inflation eased to 2.0%—the ECB target—prompting market bets on a December 12 rate cut to 2.75% deposit rate. Composite PMI readings stabilized near 50, reflecting balanced expansion risks. Traders monitor Q4 flash GDP release in January 2025 and ECB forward guidance for confirmation of the softening disinflation-growth path.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于<0.5%
20%
0.5-0.8%
37%
0.9-1.2%
47%
1.3-1.6%
39%
1.7-2.0%
32%
2.1-2.4%
35%
2.5%及以上
29%
$0.00 交易量
<0.5%
20%
0.5-0.8%
37%
0.9-1.2%
47%
1.3-1.6%
39%
1.7-2.0%
32%
2.1-2.4%
35%
2.5%及以上
29%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Feb 2, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone GDP growth for Q1 2026 trades on consensus forecasts implying modest quarterly expansion around 0.3%, aligning with ECB staff projections of 1.5% annual growth amid sustained monetary easing. Q3 2024 GDP expanded 0.2% quarter-on-quarter per Eurostat, buoyed by resilient services and consumption despite Germany's flat output and manufacturing weakness, as October HICP inflation eased to 2.0%—the ECB target—prompting market bets on a December 12 rate cut to 2.75% deposit rate. Composite PMI readings stabilized near 50, reflecting balanced expansion risks. Traders monitor Q4 flash GDP release in January 2025 and ECB forward guidance for confirmation of the softening disinflation-growth path.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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