Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no change in the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at the upcoming March 30 Monetary Committee decision, reflecting steady 4% levels since January cuts amid moderated inflation near the 1-3% target—edging to 2% in February—and persistent geopolitical risks from the Iran conflict and Gaza war that fuel upside inflation pressures. A Reuters poll of 13 economists unanimously predicts a hold, citing balanced activity and shekel stability, driving the 98% implied probability as traders price in caution against premature easing. Realistic challenges include surprise pre-meeting data like accelerated inflation prints, sharp shekel depreciation, or de-escalation signals prompting a cut, though escalation would reinforce the status quo.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于不变 96.0%
提高 1.6%
下调 1.1%
$27,208 交易量
$27,208 交易量
下调
1%
不变
96%
提高
2%
不变 96.0%
提高 1.6%
下调 1.1%
$27,208 交易量
$27,208 交易量
下调
1%
不变
96%
提高
2%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its March 30, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their March 30, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间: Jan 5, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its March 30, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their March 30, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no change in the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at the upcoming March 30 Monetary Committee decision, reflecting steady 4% levels since January cuts amid moderated inflation near the 1-3% target—edging to 2% in February—and persistent geopolitical risks from the Iran conflict and Gaza war that fuel upside inflation pressures. A Reuters poll of 13 economists unanimously predicts a hold, citing balanced activity and shekel stability, driving the 98% implied probability as traders price in caution against premature easing. Realistic challenges include surprise pre-meeting data like accelerated inflation prints, sharp shekel depreciation, or de-escalation signals prompting a cut, though escalation would reinforce the status quo.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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