Traders overwhelmingly back no change to the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at 4%, with the Monetary Committee's March 30 decision priced at 97.5% probability, driven by steady inflation near the 2% target and escalating geopolitical tensions from the Iran conflict. The committee held rates unchanged on February 23 after a January cut to 4%, as February CPI edged up to 2% annually amid war-related supply risks curbing easing momentum. A Reuters poll last week confirmed expectations for a second straight hold. Upside risks like sudden inflation spikes could prompt a hike, while de-escalation or sharper economic slowdown might trigger a cut, though both remain low-probability absent major shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于不变 97.6%
提高 1.7%
下调 1.3%
$27,058 交易量
$27,058 交易量
下调
1%
不变
98%
提高
2%
不变 97.6%
提高 1.7%
下调 1.3%
$27,058 交易量
$27,058 交易量
下调
1%
不变
98%
提高
2%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its March 30, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their March 30, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间: Jan 5, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its March 30, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their March 30, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders overwhelmingly back no change to the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at 4%, with the Monetary Committee's March 30 decision priced at 97.5% probability, driven by steady inflation near the 2% target and escalating geopolitical tensions from the Iran conflict. The committee held rates unchanged on February 23 after a January cut to 4%, as February CPI edged up to 2% annually amid war-related supply risks curbing easing momentum. A Reuters poll last week confirmed expectations for a second straight hold. Upside risks like sudden inflation spikes could prompt a hike, while de-escalation or sharper economic slowdown might trigger a cut, though both remain low-probability absent major shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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