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经济·利率

以色列银行5月份的决定？

Market icon
经济·利率

以色列银行5月份的决定？

Mar 30

May 25

Mar 30

May 25

维持不变 49%

下调 32%

上调 22.4%

Polymarket
NEW

维持不变 49%

下调 32%

上调 22.4%

Polymarket
NEW

下调

$0 交易量

32%

维持不变

$8,291 交易量

49%

上调

$428 交易量

28%

This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts marginally toward no change in the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at 4.50%, with a 50.5% implied probability reflecting balanced risks amid Israel's economic challenges. The April 8 decision to hold rates steady followed March CPI data showing headline inflation at 3.2% year-over-year—above the 1-3% target—offset by war-related GDP contraction estimated at 20% annualized in Q1 and rising unemployment. Shekel volatility and geopolitical tensions have kept hike odds viable at 25.1%, while recession fears support a 31.5% chance of a cut. The May 29 Monetary Committee meeting looms as the key catalyst, with fresh April CPI due May 15 potentially tipping sentiment.

Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts marginally toward no change in the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at 4.50%, with a 50.5% implied probability reflecting balanced risks amid Israel's economic challenges. The April 8 decision to hold rates steady followed March CPI data showing headline inflation at 3.2% year-over-year—above the 1-3% target—offset by war-related GDP contraction estimated at 20% annualized in Q1 and rising unemployment. Shekel volatility and geopolitical tensions have kept hike odds viable at 25.1%, while recession fears support a 31.5% chance of a cut. The May 29 Monetary Committee meeting looms as the key catalyst, with fresh April CPI due May 15 potentially tipping sentiment.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts marginally toward no change in the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at 4.50%, with a 50.5% implied probability reflecting balanced risks amid Israel's economic challenges. The April 8 decision to hold rates steady followed March CPI data showing headline inflation at 3.2% year-over-year—above the 1-3% target—offset by war-related GDP contraction estimated at 20% annualized in Q1 and rising unemployment. Shekel volatility and geopolitical tensions have kept hike odds viable at 25.1%, while recession fears support a 31.5% chance of a cut. The May 29 Monetary Committee meeting looms as the key catalyst, with fresh April CPI due May 15 potentially tipping sentiment.

Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts marginally toward no change in the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at 4.50%, with a 50.5% implied probability reflecting balanced risks amid Israel's economic challenges. The April 8 decision to hold rates steady followed March CPI data showing headline inflation at 3.2% year-over-year—above the 1-3% target—offset by war-related GDP contraction estimated at 20% annualized in Q1 and rising unemployment. Shekel volatility and geopolitical tensions have kept hike odds viable at 25.1%, while recession fears support a 31.5% chance of a cut. The May 29 Monetary Committee meeting looms as the key catalyst, with fresh April CPI due May 15 potentially tipping sentiment.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"以色列银行5月份的决定？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"维持不变"，概率为 49%，其次是"下调"，概率为 33%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 49¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 49%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"以色列银行5月份的决定？"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Feb 25, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"以色列银行5月份的决定？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"以色列银行5月份的决定？"的当前领先者是"维持不变"，概率为 49%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 49%。紧随其后的结果是"下调"，概率为 33%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"以色列银行5月份的决定？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。