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经济·京东方

2026年英格兰银行加息？

Market icon
经济·京东方

2026年英格兰银行加息？

是

66% chance
Polymarket

$12,515 交易量

是

66% chance
Polymarket

$12,515 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for a Bank of England rate hike in 2026, reflecting a sharp reversal from prior cut expectations amid surging energy costs from the Iran conflict. The MPC unanimously held Bank Rate at 3.75% on March 19—its latest decision—citing heightened inflation risks, with February CPI steady at 3.0% but March data poised to reflect petrol and wholesale gas spikes pushing headline inflation toward 3.5%. SONIA overnight index swap curves now fully price around 75 basis points of hikes through year-end, aligning with gilt yield surges (two-year at 4.66%), while economists remain cautious on near-term moves. Key catalysts include April 30 MPC meeting and impending March CPI release.

Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for a Bank of England rate hike in 2026, reflecting a sharp reversal from prior cut expectations amid surging energy costs from the Iran conflict. The MPC unanimously held Bank Rate at 3.75% on March 19—its latest decision—citing heightened inflation risks, with February CPI steady at 3.0% but March data poised to reflect petrol and wholesale gas spikes pushing headline inflation toward 3.5%. SONIA overnight index swap curves now fully price around 75 basis points of hikes through year-end, aligning with gilt yield surges (two-year at 4.66%), while economists remain cautious on near-term moves. Key catalysts include April 30 MPC meeting and impending March CPI release.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for a Bank of England rate hike in 2026, reflecting a sharp reversal from prior cut expectations amid surging energy costs from the Iran conflict. The MPC unanimously held Bank Rate at 3.75% on March 19—its latest decision—citing heightened inflation risks, with February CPI steady at 3.0% but March data poised to reflect petrol and wholesale gas spikes pushing headline inflation toward 3.5%. SONIA overnight index swap curves now fully price around 75 basis points of hikes through year-end, aligning with gilt yield surges (two-year at 4.66%), while economists remain cautious on near-term moves. Key catalysts include April 30 MPC meeting and impending March CPI release.

Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for a Bank of England rate hike in 2026, reflecting a sharp reversal from prior cut expectations amid surging energy costs from the Iran conflict. The MPC unanimously held Bank Rate at 3.75% on March 19—its latest decision—citing heightened inflation risks, with February CPI steady at 3.0% but March data poised to reflect petrol and wholesale gas spikes pushing headline inflation toward 3.5%. SONIA overnight index swap curves now fully price around 75 basis points of hikes through year-end, aligning with gilt yield surges (two-year at 4.66%), while economists remain cautious on near-term moves. Key catalysts include April 30 MPC meeting and impending March CPI release.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年英格兰银行加息？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2026年英格兰银行加息？"，概率为 66%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 66¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 66%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2026年英格兰银行加息？"已产生 $12.5K 的总交易量（自Feb 26, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年英格兰银行加息？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年英格兰银行加息？"的当前领先者是"2026年英格兰银行加息？"，概率为 66%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 66%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年英格兰银行加息？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。