Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability against a Bank of Canada rate hike in 2026, driven by sustained disinflation and economic softening. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, with core measures like CPI-trim falling below the 2% target, while unemployment rose to 6.7% and January GDP expanded just 0.1% month-over-month. The BoC held its policy rate steady at 2.25%—the lower end of its neutral range—on March 18, citing balanced risks and projecting 1.1% growth for the year. Markets see limited upside inflation pressures amid trade uncertainties, with the next key catalyst being the April 29 rate decision and Q1 GDP data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-12-31
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability against a Bank of Canada rate hike in 2026, driven by sustained disinflation and economic softening. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, with core measures like CPI-trim falling below the 2% target, while unemployment rose to 6.7% and January GDP expanded just 0.1% month-over-month. The BoC held its policy rate steady at 2.25%—the lower end of its neutral range—on March 18, citing balanced risks and projecting 1.1% growth for the year. Markets see limited upside inflation pressures amid trade uncertainties, with the next key catalyst being the April 29 rate decision and Q1 GDP data.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
交易量
$3,345结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability against a Bank of Canada rate hike in 2026, driven by sustained disinflation and economic softening. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, with core measures like CPI-trim falling below the 2% target, while unemployment rose to 6.7% and January GDP expanded just 0.1% month-over-month. The BoC held its policy rate steady at 2.25%—the lower end of its neutral range—on March 18, citing balanced risks and projecting 1.1% growth for the year. Markets see limited upside inflation pressures amid trade uncertainties, with the next key catalyst being the April 29 rate decision and Q1 GDP data.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,345结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability against a Bank of Canada rate hike in 2026, driven by sustained disinflation and economic softening. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, with core measures like CPI-trim falling below the 2% target, while unemployment rose to 6.7% and January GDP expanded just 0.1% month-over-month. The BoC held its policy rate steady at 2.25%—the lower end of its neutral range—on March 18, citing balanced risks and projecting 1.1% growth for the year. Markets see limited upside inflation pressures amid trade uncertainties, with the next key catalyst being the April 29 rate decision and Q1 GDP data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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