Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95% implied probability to the Bank of Korea maintaining its base rate at 2.50% following the April 10 meeting, reflecting the Monetary Policy Board's five consecutive holds through February 2026 amid stable February CPI inflation at 2.0% year-over-year and an upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecast to 2.0%. This positioning aligns with Reuters economist polls anticipating steady rates through the year, supported by neutral monetary policy guidance in the March report despite rising producer prices and oil risks. Realistic challenges include a weakening won or persistent inflation pressures prompting a hawkish shift under new Governor nominee Shin Hyun-song, or sharper growth slowdowns risking a rare cut; upcoming CPI data will be pivotal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于维持不变 95%
下调 3.0%
上调 2.1%
$21,390 交易量
$21,390 交易量
下调
3%
维持不变
95%
上调
2%
维持不变 95%
下调 3.0%
上调 2.1%
$21,390 交易量
$21,390 交易量
下调
3%
维持不变
95%
上调
2%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间: Jan 15, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95% implied probability to the Bank of Korea maintaining its base rate at 2.50% following the April 10 meeting, reflecting the Monetary Policy Board's five consecutive holds through February 2026 amid stable February CPI inflation at 2.0% year-over-year and an upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecast to 2.0%. This positioning aligns with Reuters economist polls anticipating steady rates through the year, supported by neutral monetary policy guidance in the March report despite rising producer prices and oil risks. Realistic challenges include a weakening won or persistent inflation pressures prompting a hawkish shift under new Governor nominee Shin Hyun-song, or sharper growth slowdowns risking a rare cut; upcoming CPI data will be pivotal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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