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利率 预测与赔率

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What will Trump say this week? (May 31)

What will Trump say this week? (May 31)

65%

UFC

$34.0K 交易量

$5.6K Liq.

Ends 大约 16 小时内

Bank of Canada Decision in July?

Bank of Canada Decision in July?

90%

No Change

$5.7K 交易量

$17.4K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

56%

Decrease

$2.4K 交易量

$10.1K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

48%

25 bps increase

$109 交易量

$392 Liq.

Ends 2 个月内

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

95%

25 bps Increase

$491K 交易量

$81.6K Liq.

Ends 12 天内

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

86%

No change

$2.1K 交易量

$15.4K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

98%

No change

$50M 交易量

$2M today

$6M Liq.

1

Ends 18 天内

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

93%

No change

$7M 交易量

$53.4K today

$794K Liq.

1

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

88%

25 bps increase

$209K 交易量

$57.7K Liq.

Ends 17 天内

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

74%

No change

$66.8K 交易量

$274K Liq.

Ends 4 个月内

Bank of England decision in June?

Bank of England decision in June?

97%

No change

$251K 交易量

$42.0K Liq.

Ends 19 天内

Bank of Mexico Decision in August?

Bank of Mexico Decision in August?

73%

No change

$6.2K 交易量

$4.0K Liq.

Ends 2 个月内

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August

67%

No change

$455 交易量

$18.2K Liq.

Ends 2 个月内

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

72%

No change

$1.1K 交易量

$7.2K Liq.

Ends 2 个月内

Bank of England decision in July?

Bank of England decision in July?

88%

No change

$683 交易量

$3.9K Liq.

Ends 2 个月内

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M 交易量

$125K Liq.

Ends 18 天内

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

93%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$52.1K 交易量

$51.8K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

75%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1.6K 交易量

$73.7K Liq.

Ends 4 个月内

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

26%

↓ 3.25%

$2M 交易量

$122K Liq.

4

Ends 7 个月内

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

50%

↓ 5.70%

$50.0K 交易量

$197 Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 利率 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 122 个活跃的 利率 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"What will Trump say this week? (May 31)"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $60.7M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Fed Decision in June?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Fed Decision in June?",市场目前认为 No change 的概率为 98%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 利率 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。