**Strong trader consensus for no change at the Bank of England’s September 17 meeting reflects the Monetary Policy Committee’s majority view that Bank Rate should remain at 3.75%.** Recent communications and July’s 6–3 vote split indicate most members favor patience amid an energy-driven inflation uptick from Middle East developments, with CPI expected to peak later in 2026 but second-round effects still contained. Softer domestic demand and a loosening labor market have supported holding steady, consistent with economist surveys showing unanimous expectations for no move. Upcoming August CPI data and the vote split itself represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift pricing if they reveal faster pass-through or a larger hawkish bloc.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于无变化 94.7%
上调25个基点 4.4%
上调50个基点以上 <1%
下调50个基点以上 <1%
$283,095 交易量
$283,095 交易量
下调50个基点以上
<1%
下调25个基点
<1%
无变化
95%
上调25个基点
4%
上调50个基点以上
<1%
无变化 94.7%
上调25个基点 4.4%
上调50个基点以上 <1%
下调50个基点以上 <1%
$283,095 交易量
$283,095 交易量
下调50个基点以上
<1%
下调25个基点
<1%
无变化
95%
上调25个基点
4%
上调50个基点以上
<1%
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
**Strong trader consensus for no change at the Bank of England’s September 17 meeting reflects the Monetary Policy Committee’s majority view that Bank Rate should remain at 3.75%.** Recent communications and July’s 6–3 vote split indicate most members favor patience amid an energy-driven inflation uptick from Middle East developments, with CPI expected to peak later in 2026 but second-round effects still contained. Softer domestic demand and a loosening labor market have supported holding steady, consistent with economist surveys showing unanimous expectations for no move. Upcoming August CPI data and the vote split itself represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift pricing if they reveal faster pass-through or a larger hawkish bloc.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题