Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: March" market prices "Nothing" at 60.5%, reflecting the absence of any triggering events by late March 2026 despite elevated risks. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% following its March 18 FOMC meeting amid oil price spikes from the US-Iran conflict, avoiding a surprise rate cut. Iran's regime endured extensive CENTCOM strikes—degrading but not collapsing its structure, per US intelligence assessments. The SAVE Act failed Senate cloture lacking 60 votes; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency; and no Insurrection Act invocation occurred despite "No Kings" protests. In Texas Senate primaries, James Talarico won the Democratic nomination on March 3, but John Cornyn advanced to a GOP runoff with Ken Paxton on May 26, preventing both from securing general election candidacies by the March 31 deadline. With the resolution window closed and no qualifying developments, traders anticipate "Nothing" resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于什么都没有
$338,774 交易量
$338,774 交易量
2026-03-31
什么都没有
$338,774 交易量
$338,774 交易量
2026-03-31
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: March" market prices "Nothing" at 60.5%, reflecting the absence of any triggering events by late March 2026 despite elevated risks. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% following its March 18 FOMC meeting amid oil price spikes from the US-Iran conflict, avoiding a surprise rate cut. Iran's regime endured extensive CENTCOM strikes—degrading but not collapsing its structure, per US intelligence assessments. The SAVE Act failed Senate cloture lacking 60 votes; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency; and no Insurrection Act invocation occurred despite "No Kings" protests. In Texas Senate primaries, James Talarico won the Democratic nomination on March 3, but John Cornyn advanced to a GOP runoff with Ken Paxton on May 26, preventing both from securing general election candidacies by the March 31 deadline. With the resolution window closed and no qualifying developments, traders anticipate "Nothing" resolution.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
市场开放时间： Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
交易量
$338,774结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: March" market prices "Nothing" at 60.5%, reflecting the absence of any triggering events by late March 2026 despite elevated risks. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% following its March 18 FOMC meeting amid oil price spikes from the US-Iran conflict, avoiding a surprise rate cut. Iran's regime endured extensive CENTCOM strikes—degrading but not collapsing its structure, per US intelligence assessments. The SAVE Act failed Senate cloture lacking 60 votes; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency; and no Insurrection Act invocation occurred despite "No Kings" protests. In Texas Senate primaries, James Talarico won the Democratic nomination on March 3, but John Cornyn advanced to a GOP runoff with Ken Paxton on May 26, preventing both from securing general election candidacies by the March 31 deadline. With the resolution window closed and no qualifying developments, traders anticipate "Nothing" resolution.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
交易量
$338,774结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: March" market prices "Nothing" at 60.5%, reflecting the absence of any triggering events by late March 2026 despite elevated risks. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% following its March 18 FOMC meeting amid oil price spikes from the US-Iran conflict, avoiding a surprise rate cut. Iran's regime endured extensive CENTCOM strikes—degrading but not collapsing its structure, per US intelligence assessments. The SAVE Act failed Senate cloture lacking 60 votes; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency; and no Insurrection Act invocation occurred despite "No Kings" protests. In Texas Senate primaries, James Talarico won the Democratic nomination on March 3, but John Cornyn advanced to a GOP runoff with Ken Paxton on May 26, preventing both from securing general election candidacies by the March 31 deadline. With the resolution window closed and no qualifying developments, traders anticipate "Nothing" resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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