Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 61.5% for no major triggering events through December 31, 2026, reflecting the uneventful first half of the year without President Trump leaving office, Chinese invasion of Taiwan, Russian incursion into a NATO country, U.S. invasion of Iran, Iranian regime collapse, Xi Jinping's removal, Bitcoin surging above $1 million or crashing below $10,000, Epstein reappearing alive, Trump acquiring Greenland, or catastrophic natural disasters like a VEI 6+ volcano, 9.0+ earthquake, or 250kt+ meteor. Recent de-escalations—a May 9 Ukraine Victory Day truce reducing NATO invasion risks and limited U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Hormuz targets falling short of full invasion—have bolstered stability, while Bitcoin holds near $80,000. Uncertainties linger ahead of the Trump-Xi Taiwan summit and November midterms, where historical precedents suggest slim odds of a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$559,114 交易量
$559,114 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$559,114 交易量
$559,114 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus prices "Yes" at 61.5% for no major triggering events through December 31, 2026, reflecting the uneventful first half of the year without President Trump leaving office, Chinese invasion of Taiwan, Russian incursion into a NATO country, U.S. invasion of Iran, Iranian regime collapse, Xi Jinping's removal, Bitcoin surging above $1 million or crashing below $10,000, Epstein reappearing alive, Trump acquiring Greenland, or catastrophic natural disasters like a VEI 6+ volcano, 9.0+ earthquake, or 250kt+ meteor. Recent de-escalations—a May 9 Ukraine Victory Day truce reducing NATO invasion risks and limited U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Hormuz targets falling short of full invasion—have bolstered stability, while Bitcoin holds near $80,000. Uncertainties linger ahead of the Trump-Xi Taiwan summit and November midterms, where historical precedents suggest slim odds of a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$559,114结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus prices "Yes" at 61.5% for no major triggering events through December 31, 2026, reflecting the uneventful first half of the year without President Trump leaving office, Chinese invasion of Taiwan, Russian incursion into a NATO country, U.S. invasion of Iran, Iranian regime collapse, Xi Jinping's removal, Bitcoin surging above $1 million or crashing below $10,000, Epstein reappearing alive, Trump acquiring Greenland, or catastrophic natural disasters like a VEI 6+ volcano, 9.0+ earthquake, or 250kt+ meteor. Recent de-escalations—a May 9 Ukraine Victory Day truce reducing NATO invasion risks and limited U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Hormuz targets falling short of full invasion—have bolstered stability, while Bitcoin holds near $80,000. Uncertainties linger ahead of the Trump-Xi Taiwan summit and November midterms, where historical precedents suggest slim odds of a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
交易量
$559,114结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 61.5% for no major triggering events through December 31, 2026, reflecting the uneventful first half of the year without President Trump leaving office, Chinese invasion of Taiwan, Russian incursion into a NATO country, U.S. invasion of Iran, Iranian regime collapse, Xi Jinping's removal, Bitcoin surging above $1 million or crashing below $10,000, Epstein reappearing alive, Trump acquiring Greenland, or catastrophic natural disasters like a VEI 6+ volcano, 9.0+ earthquake, or 250kt+ meteor. Recent de-escalations—a May 9 Ukraine Victory Day truce reducing NATO invasion risks and limited U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Hormuz targets falling short of full invasion—have bolstered stability, while Bitcoin holds near $80,000. Uncertainties linger ahead of the Trump-Xi Taiwan summit and November midterms, where historical precedents suggest slim odds of a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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