Alberta's path to U.S. statehood faces insurmountable constitutional and political barriers that underpin the 98.7% trader consensus against it. No formal annexation proposals, bilateral negotiations, or legislative initiatives exist in either country, while Alberta's October 19 referendum centers on whether to pursue independence from Canada rather than American statehood. Recent polling shows most Albertans oppose separation, and even among supporters of greater autonomy, preference for U.S. integration remains marginal compared with sovereign status. Historical precedent, treaty obligations, and the absence of public campaigns or elite endorsements for joining the United States further anchor expectations. Remote scenarios that could alter odds include a successful independence vote followed by unprecedented U.S. diplomatic overtures, though such developments would require multiple extraordinary steps over years.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
1% 概率
$2,191,975 交易量
$2,191,975 交易量
2026-12-31
是
1% 概率
$2,191,975 交易量
$2,191,975 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Alberta's path to U.S. statehood faces insurmountable constitutional and political barriers that underpin the 98.7% trader consensus against it. No formal annexation proposals, bilateral negotiations, or legislative initiatives exist in either country, while Alberta's October 19 referendum centers on whether to pursue independence from Canada rather than American statehood. Recent polling shows most Albertans oppose separation, and even among supporters of greater autonomy, preference for U.S. integration remains marginal compared with sovereign status. Historical precedent, treaty obligations, and the absence of public campaigns or elite endorsements for joining the United States further anchor expectations. Remote scenarios that could alter odds include a successful independence vote followed by unprecedented U.S. diplomatic overtures, though such developments would require multiple extraordinary steps over years.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
交易量
$2,191,975结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Alberta's path to U.S. statehood faces insurmountable constitutional and political barriers that underpin the 98.7% trader consensus against it. No formal annexation proposals, bilateral negotiations, or legislative initiatives exist in either country, while Alberta's October 19 referendum centers on whether to pursue independence from Canada rather than American statehood. Recent polling shows most Albertans oppose separation, and even among supporters of greater autonomy, preference for U.S. integration remains marginal compared with sovereign status. Historical precedent, treaty obligations, and the absence of public campaigns or elite endorsements for joining the United States further anchor expectations. Remote scenarios that could alter odds include a successful independence vote followed by unprecedented U.S. diplomatic overtures, though such developments would require multiple extraordinary steps over years.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
交易量
$2,191,975结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETAlberta's path to U.S. statehood faces insurmountable constitutional and political barriers that underpin the 98.7% trader consensus against it. No formal annexation proposals, bilateral negotiations, or legislative initiatives exist in either country, while Alberta's October 19 referendum centers on whether to pursue independence from Canada rather than American statehood. Recent polling shows most Albertans oppose separation, and even among supporters of greater autonomy, preference for U.S. integration remains marginal compared with sovereign status. Historical precedent, treaty obligations, and the absence of public campaigns or elite endorsements for joining the United States further anchor expectations. Remote scenarios that could alter odds include a successful independence vote followed by unprecedented U.S. diplomatic overtures, though such developments would require multiple extraordinary steps over years.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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