Traders assign a 95.7% probability that Alberta will not join the United States by the end of 2026 because the province faces insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers to any transfer of sovereignty. Alberta separatism remains a fringe movement, with recent polls showing only about 16% committed support for independence and even lower figures—around 17-22%—for joining the United States as a state or territory. Early 2026 meetings between some separatist representatives and U.S. officials produced no commitments or policy shifts, while Canadian leaders, including Premier Danielle Smith, have stressed respect for federal sovereignty and noted that the vast majority of Albertans oppose U.S. statehood. First Nations treaty rights add further obstacles, and any path would require approvals from multiple Canadian governments, the U.S. Congress, and a binding referendum that current sentiment suggests would fail. Late developments such as a successful independence vote or major diplomatic reversal remain possible but face steep procedural and popular hurdles before December 31, 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$667,075 交易量
$667,075 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$667,075 交易量
$667,075 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Traders assign a 95.7% probability that Alberta will not join the United States by the end of 2026 because the province faces insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers to any transfer of sovereignty. Alberta separatism remains a fringe movement, with recent polls showing only about 16% committed support for independence and even lower figures—around 17-22%—for joining the United States as a state or territory. Early 2026 meetings between some separatist representatives and U.S. officials produced no commitments or policy shifts, while Canadian leaders, including Premier Danielle Smith, have stressed respect for federal sovereignty and noted that the vast majority of Albertans oppose U.S. statehood. First Nations treaty rights add further obstacles, and any path would require approvals from multiple Canadian governments, the U.S. Congress, and a binding referendum that current sentiment suggests would fail. Late developments such as a successful independence vote or major diplomatic reversal remain possible but face steep procedural and popular hurdles before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
交易量
$667,075结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Traders assign a 95.7% probability that Alberta will not join the United States by the end of 2026 because the province faces insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers to any transfer of sovereignty. Alberta separatism remains a fringe movement, with recent polls showing only about 16% committed support for independence and even lower figures—around 17-22%—for joining the United States as a state or territory. Early 2026 meetings between some separatist representatives and U.S. officials produced no commitments or policy shifts, while Canadian leaders, including Premier Danielle Smith, have stressed respect for federal sovereignty and noted that the vast majority of Albertans oppose U.S. statehood. First Nations treaty rights add further obstacles, and any path would require approvals from multiple Canadian governments, the U.S. Congress, and a binding referendum that current sentiment suggests would fail. Late developments such as a successful independence vote or major diplomatic reversal remain possible but face steep procedural and popular hurdles before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
交易量
$668,164结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 95.7% probability that Alberta will not join the United States by the end of 2026 because the province faces insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers to any transfer of sovereignty. Alberta separatism remains a fringe movement, with recent polls showing only about 16% committed support for independence and even lower figures—around 17-22%—for joining the United States as a state or territory. Early 2026 meetings between some separatist representatives and U.S. officials produced no commitments or policy shifts, while Canadian leaders, including Premier Danielle Smith, have stressed respect for federal sovereignty and noted that the vast majority of Albertans oppose U.S. statehood. First Nations treaty rights add further obstacles, and any path would require approvals from multiple Canadian governments, the U.S. Congress, and a binding referendum that current sentiment suggests would fail. Late developments such as a successful independence vote or major diplomatic reversal remain possible but face steep procedural and popular hurdles before December 31, 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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