Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.4% for Alberta joining the US by December 31, 2026, reflecting insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers to secession from Canada, let alone US statehood admission via congressional approval. A recent Alberta court injunction, issued April 10 amid First Nations challenges citing treaty rights harm, temporarily halts certification of the Stay Free Alberta independence petition despite organizers' claims of surpassing 177,000 signatures for an October 19 referendum. Polls indicate only 24-30% support separation, with Premier Danielle Smith affirming most residents favor remaining in Canada. Even a surprise referendum victory would trigger complex federal Clarity Act negotiations and unlikely swift US integration, barring extraordinary diplomatic breakthroughs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.4% for Alberta joining the US by December 31, 2026, reflecting insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers to secession from Canada, let alone US statehood admission via congressional approval. A recent Alberta court injunction, issued April 10 amid First Nations challenges citing treaty rights harm, temporarily halts certification of the Stay Free Alberta independence petition despite organizers' claims of surpassing 177,000 signatures for an October 19 referendum. Polls indicate only 24-30% support separation, with Premier Danielle Smith affirming most residents favor remaining in Canada. Even a surprise referendum victory would trigger complex federal Clarity Act negotiations and unlikely swift US integration, barring extraordinary diplomatic breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
交易量
$2,052结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.4% for Alberta joining the US by December 31, 2026, reflecting insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers to secession from Canada, let alone US statehood admission via congressional approval. A recent Alberta court injunction, issued April 10 amid First Nations challenges citing treaty rights harm, temporarily halts certification of the Stay Free Alberta independence petition despite organizers' claims of surpassing 177,000 signatures for an October 19 referendum. Polls indicate only 24-30% support separation, with Premier Danielle Smith affirming most residents favor remaining in Canada. Even a surprise referendum victory would trigger complex federal Clarity Act negotiations and unlikely swift US integration, barring extraordinary diplomatic breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
交易量
$2,052结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.4% for Alberta joining the US by December 31, 2026, reflecting insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers to secession from Canada, let alone US statehood admission via congressional approval. A recent Alberta court injunction, issued April 10 amid First Nations challenges citing treaty rights harm, temporarily halts certification of the Stay Free Alberta independence petition despite organizers' claims of surpassing 177,000 signatures for an October 19 referendum. Polls indicate only 24-30% support separation, with Premier Danielle Smith affirming most residents favor remaining in Canada. Even a surprise referendum victory would trigger complex federal Clarity Act negotiations and unlikely swift US integration, barring extraordinary diplomatic breakthroughs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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