Zelenskyy's recent Easter truce proposal to Russia via U.S. negotiators was swiftly rejected with drone strikes across Ukraine, underscoring stalled U.S.-mediated peace talks amid Russia's claim of full Luhansk control. High Russian public support for negotiations (67%) contrasts with Ukrainian skepticism (25% expect lasting peace), fueling trader consensus at 53.5% for a ceasefire by end-2027. This closely contested pricing reflects war fatigue, potential diplomatic pressure before U.S. midterms, and historical patterns of frozen conflicts thawing under exhaustion, balanced against Moscow's territorial demands in Donetsk and beyond. Battlefield shifts, escalation signals, or breakthroughs in Geneva-style talks could tip odds toward yes or no.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
最新
最新
2027-12-31
最新
最新
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Zelenskyy's recent Easter truce proposal to Russia via U.S. negotiators was swiftly rejected with drone strikes across Ukraine, underscoring stalled U.S.-mediated peace talks amid Russia's claim of full Luhansk control. High Russian public support for negotiations (67%) contrasts with Ukrainian skepticism (25% expect lasting peace), fueling trader consensus at 53.5% for a ceasefire by end-2027. This closely contested pricing reflects war fatigue, potential diplomatic pressure before U.S. midterms, and historical patterns of frozen conflicts thawing under exhaustion, balanced against Moscow's territorial demands in Donetsk and beyond. Battlefield shifts, escalation signals, or breakthroughs in Geneva-style talks could tip odds toward yes or no.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
交易量
$3,781结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Zelenskyy's recent Easter truce proposal to Russia via U.S. negotiators was swiftly rejected with drone strikes across Ukraine, underscoring stalled U.S.-mediated peace talks amid Russia's claim of full Luhansk control. High Russian public support for negotiations (67%) contrasts with Ukrainian skepticism (25% expect lasting peace), fueling trader consensus at 53.5% for a ceasefire by end-2027. This closely contested pricing reflects war fatigue, potential diplomatic pressure before U.S. midterms, and historical patterns of frozen conflicts thawing under exhaustion, balanced against Moscow's territorial demands in Donetsk and beyond. Battlefield shifts, escalation signals, or breakthroughs in Geneva-style talks could tip odds toward yes or no.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
交易量
$3,781结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Zelenskyy's recent Easter truce proposal to Russia via U.S. negotiators was swiftly rejected with drone strikes across Ukraine, underscoring stalled U.S.-mediated peace talks amid Russia's claim of full Luhansk control. High Russian public support for negotiations (67%) contrasts with Ukrainian skepticism (25% expect lasting peace), fueling trader consensus at 53.5% for a ceasefire by end-2027. This closely contested pricing reflects war fatigue, potential diplomatic pressure before U.S. midterms, and historical patterns of frozen conflicts thawing under exhaustion, balanced against Moscow's territorial demands in Donetsk and beyond. Battlefield shifts, escalation signals, or breakthroughs in Geneva-style talks could tip odds toward yes or no.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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