Iran's constitution requires a presidential election within 50 days of President Ebrahim Raisi's death on May 19, setting a deadline around July 8—past June 30. Acting President Mohammad Mokhber has initiated preparations, including candidate registration closed June 2 and Guardian Council vetting underway, but the process typically includes a one-week minimum campaign period, making a pre-July vote logistically tight. No expedited date has been officially confirmed, and amid escalating regional tensions with Israel—including Iran's October 1 missile barrage and Israel's October 26 airstrikes—traders price in high risk of delay or postponement, driving the 92.7% "No" consensus. Only a surprise early announcement or de-escalation could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$184,794 交易量
$184,794 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
是
$184,794 交易量
$184,794 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's constitution requires a presidential election within 50 days of President Ebrahim Raisi's death on May 19, setting a deadline around July 8—past June 30. Acting President Mohammad Mokhber has initiated preparations, including candidate registration closed June 2 and Guardian Council vetting underway, but the process typically includes a one-week minimum campaign period, making a pre-July vote logistically tight. No expedited date has been officially confirmed, and amid escalating regional tensions with Israel—including Iran's October 1 missile barrage and Israel's October 26 airstrikes—traders price in high risk of delay or postponement, driving the 92.7% "No" consensus. Only a surprise early announcement or de-escalation could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
交易量
$184,794结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's constitution requires a presidential election within 50 days of President Ebrahim Raisi's death on May 19, setting a deadline around July 8—past June 30. Acting President Mohammad Mokhber has initiated preparations, including candidate registration closed June 2 and Guardian Council vetting underway, but the process typically includes a one-week minimum campaign period, making a pre-July vote logistically tight. No expedited date has been officially confirmed, and amid escalating regional tensions with Israel—including Iran's October 1 missile barrage and Israel's October 26 airstrikes—traders price in high risk of delay or postponement, driving the 92.7% "No" consensus. Only a surprise early announcement or de-escalation could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$184,794结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's constitution requires a presidential election within 50 days of President Ebrahim Raisi's death on May 19, setting a deadline around July 8—past June 30. Acting President Mohammad Mokhber has initiated preparations, including candidate registration closed June 2 and Guardian Council vetting underway, but the process typically includes a one-week minimum campaign period, making a pre-July vote logistically tight. No expedited date has been officially confirmed, and amid escalating regional tensions with Israel—including Iran's October 1 missile barrage and Israel's October 26 airstrikes—traders price in high risk of delay or postponement, driving the 92.7% "No" consensus. Only a surprise early announcement or de-escalation could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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