Recent polling trends show United Russia support hovering near 45-50% ahead of the September 2026 State Duma vote, down from prior levels and prompting Kremlin adjustments to turnout and vote-share targets. The mixed electoral system—half proportional representation and half single-member districts—amplifies uncertainty around seat totals, with systemic opposition parties like the CPRF and LDPR positioned to capture residual votes. Preparations including party primaries, candidate selection emphasizing war-related figures, and regional contests have reinforced the ruling party's structural advantages without eliminating variability from turnout or district-level results. Trader positioning remains concentrated in the 310-354 seat bands, reflecting consensus on a continued majority alongside limited clarity on the precise scale amid ongoing geopolitical and domestic pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于325–339 29%
310–324 22.4%
340–354 21%
355+ 13%
$176,508 交易量
$176,508 交易量
2026-09-20
少于280
3%
280–294
3%
295–309
10%
310–324
22%
325–339
29%
340–354
21%
355+
13%
325–339 29%
310–324 22.4%
340–354 21%
355+ 13%
$176,508 交易量
$176,508 交易量
2026-09-20
少于280
$25,410 交易量
3%
280–294
$15,465 交易量
3%
295–309
$10,726 交易量
10%
310–324
$13,902 交易量
22%
325–339
$26,830 交易量
29%
340–354
$46,893 交易量
21%
355+
$37,282 交易量
13%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Recent polling trends show United Russia support hovering near 45-50% ahead of the September 2026 State Duma vote, down from prior levels and prompting Kremlin adjustments to turnout and vote-share targets. The mixed electoral system—half proportional representation and half single-member districts—amplifies uncertainty around seat totals, with systemic opposition parties like the CPRF and LDPR positioned to capture residual votes. Preparations including party primaries, candidate selection emphasizing war-related figures, and regional contests have reinforced the ruling party's structural advantages without eliminating variability from turnout or district-level results. Trader positioning remains concentrated in the 310-354 seat bands, reflecting consensus on a continued majority alongside limited clarity on the precise scale amid ongoing geopolitical and domestic pressures.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
交易量
$176,508结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Recent polling trends show United Russia support hovering near 45-50% ahead of the September 2026 State Duma vote, down from prior levels and prompting Kremlin adjustments to turnout and vote-share targets. The mixed electoral system—half proportional representation and half single-member districts—amplifies uncertainty around seat totals, with systemic opposition parties like the CPRF and LDPR positioned to capture residual votes. Preparations including party primaries, candidate selection emphasizing war-related figures, and regional contests have reinforced the ruling party's structural advantages without eliminating variability from turnout or district-level results. Trader positioning remains concentrated in the 310-354 seat bands, reflecting consensus on a continued majority alongside limited clarity on the precise scale amid ongoing geopolitical and domestic pressures.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$176,508结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling trends show United Russia support hovering near 45-50% ahead of the September 2026 State Duma vote, down from prior levels and prompting Kremlin adjustments to turnout and vote-share targets. The mixed electoral system—half proportional representation and half single-member districts—amplifies uncertainty around seat totals, with systemic opposition parties like the CPRF and LDPR positioned to capture residual votes. Preparations including party primaries, candidate selection emphasizing war-related figures, and regional contests have reinforced the ruling party's structural advantages without eliminating variability from turnout or district-level results. Trader positioning remains concentrated in the 310-354 seat bands, reflecting consensus on a continued majority alongside limited clarity on the precise scale amid ongoing geopolitical and domestic pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题